Incumbent Karen Bass secured the top spot in the June 2 nonpartisan primary, advancing comfortably to the November runoff, while late-counted ballots have narrowed the gap for second place between City Councilmember Nithya Raman and newcomer Spencer Pratt. Pre-election polling showed all three candidates within a few points among likely voters, with Raman and Pratt each gaining sharply in the final weeks. Trader consensus now prices a Bass-Raman matchup at 80 percent, reflecting Raman’s stronger performance in remaining mail and provisional ballots from progressive-leaning precincts and historical patterns in Los Angeles vote counting. Bass-Pratt remains at 20 percent as Pratt’s early lead erodes. No candidate approached the majority threshold required to win outright, consistent with the city’s runoff rules.