Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh highlight deep divisions, with the July 29 hold decision passing 9-3 amid three hawkish dissents favoring a rate hike to address sticky inflation. Core PCE inflation held near 3.3% year-over-year through mid-2026, well above the 2% target amid energy-driven pressures, while the unemployment rate eased only modestly to 4.1% in July. This data backdrop, combined with a June dot plot split showing nine participants favoring higher year-end 2026 rates, fuels uncertainty over the scale of dissent at the December meeting. Traders price closely matched outcomes around two to four dissents because upcoming PCE releases, labor reports, and any geopolitical shifts in energy prices could shift the hawk-dove balance before year-end. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of these fluid policy tensions rather than a settled consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 24.2%
3 22%
4+ 22%
1 16.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 dic 2026
0
16%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4+
22%
2 24.2%
3 22%
4+ 22%
1 16.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 dic 2026
0
$6,187 Vol.
16%
1
$409 Vol.
17%
2
$210 Vol.
24%
3
$244 Vol.
22%
4+
$238 Vol.
22%
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh highlight deep divisions, with the July 29 hold decision passing 9-3 amid three hawkish dissents favoring a rate hike to address sticky inflation. Core PCE inflation held near 3.3% year-over-year through mid-2026, well above the 2% target amid energy-driven pressures, while the unemployment rate eased only modestly to 4.1% in July. This data backdrop, combined with a June dot plot split showing nine participants favoring higher year-end 2026 rates, fuels uncertainty over the scale of dissent at the December meeting. Traders price closely matched outcomes around two to four dissents because upcoming PCE releases, labor reports, and any geopolitical shifts in energy prices could shift the hawk-dove balance before year-end. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of these fluid policy tensions rather than a settled consensus.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Volumen
$7,289Fecha de finalización
9 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh highlight deep divisions, with the July 29 hold decision passing 9-3 amid three hawkish dissents favoring a rate hike to address sticky inflation. Core PCE inflation held near 3.3% year-over-year through mid-2026, well above the 2% target amid energy-driven pressures, while the unemployment rate eased only modestly to 4.1% in July. This data backdrop, combined with a June dot plot split showing nine participants favoring higher year-end 2026 rates, fuels uncertainty over the scale of dissent at the December meeting. Traders price closely matched outcomes around two to four dissents because upcoming PCE releases, labor reports, and any geopolitical shifts in energy prices could shift the hawk-dove balance before year-end. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of these fluid policy tensions rather than a settled consensus.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$7,289Fecha de finalización
9 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh highlight deep divisions, with the July 29 hold decision passing 9-3 amid three hawkish dissents favoring a rate hike to address sticky inflation. Core PCE inflation held near 3.3% year-over-year through mid-2026, well above the 2% target amid energy-driven pressures, while the unemployment rate eased only modestly to 4.1% in July. This data backdrop, combined with a June dot plot split showing nine participants favoring higher year-end 2026 rates, fuels uncertainty over the scale of dissent at the December meeting. Traders price closely matched outcomes around two to four dissents because upcoming PCE releases, labor reports, and any geopolitical shifts in energy prices could shift the hawk-dove balance before year-end. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of these fluid policy tensions rather than a settled consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes