Recent forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Station and international models converge on a daily maximum near 31–32 °C for September 5, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 32 °C outcome at 38 % implied probability. Persistent morning cloud cover and light rain or scattered showers are expected to limit surface heating, while moderate northeast winds and seasonal early-autumn conditions keep readings below late-summer peaks. Updated model runs show minimal disagreement on the upper range, with 33 °C remaining a plausible but less likely outlier if skies clear earlier than anticipated. Official observations and verification data will resolve the market once the full daily maximum is confirmed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 5 de septiembre?
32°C 43%
31°C 29%
30°C 15%
33°C 8%
$16,976 Vol.
$16,976 Vol.
27°C o menos
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
15%
31°C
29%
32°C
43%
33°C
8%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o superior
<1%
32°C 43%
31°C 29%
30°C 15%
33°C 8%
$16,976 Vol.
$16,976 Vol.
27°C o menos
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
15%
31°C
29%
32°C
43%
33°C
8%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o superior
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Station and international models converge on a daily maximum near 31–32 °C for September 5, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 32 °C outcome at 38 % implied probability. Persistent morning cloud cover and light rain or scattered showers are expected to limit surface heating, while moderate northeast winds and seasonal early-autumn conditions keep readings below late-summer peaks. Updated model runs show minimal disagreement on the upper range, with 33 °C remaining a plausible but less likely outlier if skies clear earlier than anticipated. Official observations and verification data will resolve the market once the full daily maximum is confirmed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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