**Model consensus from major forecasting centers points to a daily high near 34°C in Tel Aviv on August 10, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 34–35°C outcomes.** August climatology in the region features average highs of 31–32°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of the eastern Mediterranean summer. Recent ECMWF and other global model runs show minimal deviation from this baseline, with no strong heat advection or marine layer changes expected to push temperatures notably higher or lower. Current surface observations and short-range guidance indicate stable, sunny conditions with light winds that support efficient daytime heating without extremes. As the target date is only 48 hours away, forecast uncertainty remains low, though minor adjustments in the final model cycles could still shift the precise peak within the narrow 33–35°C band favored by traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 10 de agosto?
34°C 50%
35°C 32%
33°C 11%
36°C 5%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
11%
34°C
50%
35°C
32%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 50%
35°C 32%
33°C 11%
36°C 5%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
11%
34°C
50%
35°C
32%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Model consensus from major forecasting centers points to a daily high near 34°C in Tel Aviv on August 10, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 34–35°C outcomes.** August climatology in the region features average highs of 31–32°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of the eastern Mediterranean summer. Recent ECMWF and other global model runs show minimal deviation from this baseline, with no strong heat advection or marine layer changes expected to push temperatures notably higher or lower. Current surface observations and short-range guidance indicate stable, sunny conditions with light winds that support efficient daytime heating without extremes. As the target date is only 48 hours away, forecast uncertainty remains low, though minor adjustments in the final model cycles could still shift the precise peak within the narrow 33–35°C band favored by traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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