Trader consensus centers on a 24–26°C daily maximum for São Paulo today, with 25°C carrying the highest implied probability, reflecting official forecasts from Brazilian meteorological services showing a high near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. August climatology places average highs around 24°C during the dry winter season, when subtropical high pressure suppresses convection and limits moisture; recent model runs indicate slightly above-normal temperatures consistent with the month’s observed +2.4°C departure from the 17.9°C mean. A weak cold front approaching from the south may cap afternoon warming, keeping extremes below 27°C while preventing drops to 23°C or lower. Updated INMET guidance and satellite observations through the morning support this narrow range ahead of evening resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 14 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 14 de agosto?
25°C 47%
26°C 21%
24°C 20%
23°C 8.8%
NUEVO
$14,483 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,483 Vol.
14 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
20%
25°C
47%
26°C
21%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
26°C 21%
24°C 20%
23°C 8.8%
NUEVO
$14,483 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,483 Vol.
14 ago 2026
21°C or below
$359 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$409 Vol.
1%
23°C
$467 Vol.
9%
24°C
$5,254 Vol.
20%
25°C
$1,217 Vol.
47%
26°C
$1,898 Vol.
21%
27°C
$1,920 Vol.
5%
28°C
$993 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,270 Vol.
1%
30°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$373 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on a 24–26°C daily maximum for São Paulo today, with 25°C carrying the highest implied probability, reflecting official forecasts from Brazilian meteorological services showing a high near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. August climatology places average highs around 24°C during the dry winter season, when subtropical high pressure suppresses convection and limits moisture; recent model runs indicate slightly above-normal temperatures consistent with the month’s observed +2.4°C departure from the 17.9°C mean. A weak cold front approaching from the south may cap afternoon warming, keeping extremes below 27°C while preventing drops to 23°C or lower. Updated INMET guidance and satellite observations through the morning support this narrow range ahead of evening resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volumen
$14,483Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on a 24–26°C daily maximum for São Paulo today, with 25°C carrying the highest implied probability, reflecting official forecasts from Brazilian meteorological services showing a high near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. August climatology places average highs around 24°C during the dry winter season, when subtropical high pressure suppresses convection and limits moisture; recent model runs indicate slightly above-normal temperatures consistent with the month’s observed +2.4°C departure from the 17.9°C mean. A weak cold front approaching from the south may cap afternoon warming, keeping extremes below 27°C while preventing drops to 23°C or lower. Updated INMET guidance and satellite observations through the morning support this narrow range ahead of evening resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,483Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on a 24–26°C daily maximum for São Paulo today, with 25°C carrying the highest implied probability, reflecting official forecasts from Brazilian meteorological services showing a high near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. August climatology places average highs around 24°C during the dry winter season, when subtropical high pressure suppresses convection and limits moisture; recent model runs indicate slightly above-normal temperatures consistent with the month’s observed +2.4°C departure from the 17.9°C mean. A weak cold front approaching from the south may cap afternoon warming, keeping extremes below 27°C while preventing drops to 23°C or lower. Updated INMET guidance and satellite observations through the morning support this narrow range ahead of evening resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes