Latest GFS-based forecasts for Paris on September 19 project a daily maximum near 25°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This places the outcome squarely in line with the market's leading 57.5% implied probability for 25°C, ahead of 24°C and 26°C. The pattern reflects typical early-autumn steering and modest warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 21°C, with stable high pressure and no incoming fronts expected to shift temperatures. Afternoon model updates and observational refinements will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 19 de septiembre?
25°C 57%
24°C 21%
26°C 21%
23°C 2%
$16,423 Vol.
$16,423 Vol.
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
21%
25°C
57%
26°C
21%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o más
<1%
25°C 57%
24°C 21%
26°C 21%
23°C 2%
$16,423 Vol.
$16,423 Vol.
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
21%
25°C
57%
26°C
21%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest GFS-based forecasts for Paris on September 19 project a daily maximum near 25°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This places the outcome squarely in line with the market's leading 57.5% implied probability for 25°C, ahead of 24°C and 26°C. The pattern reflects typical early-autumn steering and modest warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 21°C, with stable high pressure and no incoming fronts expected to shift temperatures. Afternoon model updates and observational refinements will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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