Current forecast models from Météo-France and ensemble runs indicate a high of 31–33°C in Paris on August 10 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, positioning these outcomes as market leaders at 47.5%, 25.5%, and 22.5% implied probability. Recent warming from a building high-pressure system after early-August variability has raised maximum temperatures toward 30°C over the weekend, aligning with seasonal August averages near 25–26°C while highlighting typical model spread of 1–2°C two days out. Official agencies note limited precipitation risk and no extreme heat signals, keeping probabilities for 34°C or higher below 5% absent late intensification. Traders monitor updated runs and observational data through the weekend for any steering-pattern shifts that could alter the peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 10 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 10 de agosto?
32°C 48%
31°C 26%
33°C 23%
34°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
30°C or below
3%
31°C
26%
32°C
48%
33°C
23%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 48%
31°C 26%
33°C 23%
34°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
30°C or below
$346 Vol.
3%
31°C
$1,654 Vol.
26%
32°C
$713 Vol.
48%
33°C
$432 Vol.
23%
34°C
$289 Vol.
5%
35°C
$396 Vol.
2%
36°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$349 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$403 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$557 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$557 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo-France and ensemble runs indicate a high of 31–33°C in Paris on August 10 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, positioning these outcomes as market leaders at 47.5%, 25.5%, and 22.5% implied probability. Recent warming from a building high-pressure system after early-August variability has raised maximum temperatures toward 30°C over the weekend, aligning with seasonal August averages near 25–26°C while highlighting typical model spread of 1–2°C two days out. Official agencies note limited precipitation risk and no extreme heat signals, keeping probabilities for 34°C or higher below 5% absent late intensification. Traders monitor updated runs and observational data through the weekend for any steering-pattern shifts that could alter the peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Volumen
$5,973Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo-France and ensemble runs indicate a high of 31–33°C in Paris on August 10 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, positioning these outcomes as market leaders at 47.5%, 25.5%, and 22.5% implied probability. Recent warming from a building high-pressure system after early-August variability has raised maximum temperatures toward 30°C over the weekend, aligning with seasonal August averages near 25–26°C while highlighting typical model spread of 1–2°C two days out. Official agencies note limited precipitation risk and no extreme heat signals, keeping probabilities for 34°C or higher below 5% absent late intensification. Traders monitor updated runs and observational data through the weekend for any steering-pattern shifts that could alter the peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,973Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from Météo-France and ensemble runs indicate a high of 31–33°C in Paris on August 10 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, positioning these outcomes as market leaders at 47.5%, 25.5%, and 22.5% implied probability. Recent warming from a building high-pressure system after early-August variability has raised maximum temperatures toward 30°C over the weekend, aligning with seasonal August averages near 25–26°C while highlighting typical model spread of 1–2°C two days out. Official agencies note limited precipitation risk and no extreme heat signals, keeping probabilities for 34°C or higher below 5% absent late intensification. Traders monitor updated runs and observational data through the weekend for any steering-pattern shifts that could alter the peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes