**Current forecasts from sources like the UK Met Office project a high of 34°C for Panama City on August 10, aligning with the market's leading 47.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Historical August averages hover near 30–32°C, so this day sits on the warmer side of climatological norms for the tropical location, where the rainy season typically brings high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and cloud cover that moderates peaks. Key scientific drivers include expected reduced cloudiness or lighter winds allowing greater solar heating, combined with warm regional sea-surface temperatures that sustain elevated boundary-layer heat. Model consensus clusters in the 33–35°C range, explaining why those outcomes together exceed 88% probability: minor shifts in timing of showers or insolation can easily move the daily maximum by 1–2°C. AccuWeather's extended August outlook notes a possible envelope up to 35.2°C on some days, supporting the 20% chance attached to 35°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily, as small changes in the 48-hour forecast window can still adjust the exact peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la ciudad de Panamá el 10 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en la ciudad de Panamá el 10 de agosto?
34°C 52%
33°C 20%
35°C 19%
32°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
20%
34°C
52%
35°C
19%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C o más
<1%
34°C 52%
33°C 20%
35°C 19%
32°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
28°C o menos
$56 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$565 Vol.
1%
31°C
$297 Vol.
2%
32°C
$161 Vol.
8%
33°C
$371 Vol.
20%
34°C
$3,294 Vol.
52%
35°C
$297 Vol.
19%
36°C
$101 Vol.
4%
37°C
$158 Vol.
1%
38°C o más
$1,029 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from sources like the UK Met Office project a high of 34°C for Panama City on August 10, aligning with the market's leading 47.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Historical August averages hover near 30–32°C, so this day sits on the warmer side of climatological norms for the tropical location, where the rainy season typically brings high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and cloud cover that moderates peaks.
Key scientific drivers include expected reduced cloudiness or lighter winds allowing greater solar heating, combined with warm regional sea-surface temperatures that sustain elevated boundary-layer heat. Model consensus clusters in the 33–35°C range, explaining why those outcomes together exceed 88% probability: minor shifts in timing of showers or insolation can easily move the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
AccuWeather's extended August outlook notes a possible envelope up to 35.2°C on some days, supporting the 20% chance attached to 35°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily, as small changes in the 48-hour forecast window can still adjust the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volumen
$6,371Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from sources like the UK Met Office project a high of 34°C for Panama City on August 10, aligning with the market's leading 47.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Historical August averages hover near 30–32°C, so this day sits on the warmer side of climatological norms for the tropical location, where the rainy season typically brings high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and cloud cover that moderates peaks.
Key scientific drivers include expected reduced cloudiness or lighter winds allowing greater solar heating, combined with warm regional sea-surface temperatures that sustain elevated boundary-layer heat. Model consensus clusters in the 33–35°C range, explaining why those outcomes together exceed 88% probability: minor shifts in timing of showers or insolation can easily move the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
AccuWeather's extended August outlook notes a possible envelope up to 35.2°C on some days, supporting the 20% chance attached to 35°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily, as small changes in the 48-hour forecast window can still adjust the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,371Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from sources like the UK Met Office project a high of 34°C for Panama City on August 10, aligning with the market's leading 47.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Historical August averages hover near 30–32°C, so this day sits on the warmer side of climatological norms for the tropical location, where the rainy season typically brings high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and cloud cover that moderates peaks. Key scientific drivers include expected reduced cloudiness or lighter winds allowing greater solar heating, combined with warm regional sea-surface temperatures that sustain elevated boundary-layer heat. Model consensus clusters in the 33–35°C range, explaining why those outcomes together exceed 88% probability: minor shifts in timing of showers or insolation can easily move the daily maximum by 1–2°C. AccuWeather's extended August outlook notes a possible envelope up to 35.2°C on some days, supporting the 20% chance attached to 35°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily, as small changes in the 48-hour forecast window can still adjust the exact peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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