Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Munich on August 10, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence that warms the lower atmosphere while suppressing cloud formation and allowing strong solar insolation. Small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of any weak frontal passage, or local urban heat-island effects create enough spread across ensemble members to keep the 33°C and 34°C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing, with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C or 35°C+ outcomes that would require notable forecast shifts. Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst will determine resolution, and traders are monitoring the latest ECMWF and GFS runs for any adjustments ahead of the event.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 10 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 10 de agosto?
34°C 46%
33°C 37%
35°C 12%
32°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
37%
34°C
46%
35°C
12%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 46%
33°C 37%
35°C 12%
32°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
30°C or below
$420 Vol.
1%
31°C
$184 Vol.
2%
32°C
$1,126 Vol.
7%
33°C
$953 Vol.
37%
34°C
$912 Vol.
46%
35°C
$1,362 Vol.
12%
36°C
$321 Vol.
2%
37°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$327 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$381 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$361 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Munich on August 10, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence that warms the lower atmosphere while suppressing cloud formation and allowing strong solar insolation. Small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of any weak frontal passage, or local urban heat-island effects create enough spread across ensemble members to keep the 33°C and 34°C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing, with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C or 35°C+ outcomes that would require notable forecast shifts. Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst will determine resolution, and traders are monitoring the latest ECMWF and GFS runs for any adjustments ahead of the event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$6,680Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Munich on August 10, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence that warms the lower atmosphere while suppressing cloud formation and allowing strong solar insolation. Small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of any weak frontal passage, or local urban heat-island effects create enough spread across ensemble members to keep the 33°C and 34°C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing, with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C or 35°C+ outcomes that would require notable forecast shifts. Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst will determine resolution, and traders are monitoring the latest ECMWF and GFS runs for any adjustments ahead of the event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,680Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Munich on August 10, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence that warms the lower atmosphere while suppressing cloud formation and allowing strong solar insolation. Small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of any weak frontal passage, or local urban heat-island effects create enough spread across ensemble members to keep the 33°C and 34°C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing, with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C or 35°C+ outcomes that would require notable forecast shifts. Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst will determine resolution, and traders are monitoring the latest ECMWF and GFS runs for any adjustments ahead of the event.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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