Recent high-pressure dominance across northern Italy has sustained clear skies and light easterly winds over Milan, limiting cloud cover and allowing strong daytime insolation that supports afternoon highs near 32–34 °C. Short-range models from sources such as YR and ilMeteo converge on a Monday maximum of 32–33 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those bins, while the ongoing warm anomaly relative to the early-September climatological mean of roughly 28 °C keeps lower outcomes discounted. Minor model spread around peak timing and boundary-layer mixing accounts for the secondary probabilities on 31 °C and 33 °C; the next updated forecast cycles and any late adjustments in 500 hPa heights will be the key data releases likely to shift implied odds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 7 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 7 de septiembre?
32°C 44%
31°C 25%
33°C 14%
30°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 sep 2026
28°C o menos
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
10%
31°C
25%
32°C
44%
33°C
14%
34°C
7%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C o más
1%
32°C 44%
31°C 25%
33°C 14%
30°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 sep 2026
28°C o menos
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
9%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C
$67 Vol.
25%
32°C
$2 Vol.
44%
33°C
$5 Vol.
14%
34°C
$11 Vol.
7%
35°C
$11 Vol.
8%
36°C
$0 Vol.
3%
37°C
$0 Vol.
2%
38°C o más
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance across northern Italy has sustained clear skies and light easterly winds over Milan, limiting cloud cover and allowing strong daytime insolation that supports afternoon highs near 32–34 °C. Short-range models from sources such as YR and ilMeteo converge on a Monday maximum of 32–33 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those bins, while the ongoing warm anomaly relative to the early-September climatological mean of roughly 28 °C keeps lower outcomes discounted. Minor model spread around peak timing and boundary-layer mixing accounts for the secondary probabilities on 31 °C and 33 °C; the next updated forecast cycles and any late adjustments in 500 hPa heights will be the key data releases likely to shift implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$97Fecha de finalización
7 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance across northern Italy has sustained clear skies and light easterly winds over Milan, limiting cloud cover and allowing strong daytime insolation that supports afternoon highs near 32–34 °C. Short-range models from sources such as YR and ilMeteo converge on a Monday maximum of 32–33 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those bins, while the ongoing warm anomaly relative to the early-September climatological mean of roughly 28 °C keeps lower outcomes discounted. Minor model spread around peak timing and boundary-layer mixing accounts for the secondary probabilities on 31 °C and 33 °C; the next updated forecast cycles and any late adjustments in 500 hPa heights will be the key data releases likely to shift implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$97Fecha de finalización
7 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure dominance across northern Italy has sustained clear skies and light easterly winds over Milan, limiting cloud cover and allowing strong daytime insolation that supports afternoon highs near 32–34 °C. Short-range models from sources such as YR and ilMeteo converge on a Monday maximum of 32–33 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those bins, while the ongoing warm anomaly relative to the early-September climatological mean of roughly 28 °C keeps lower outcomes discounted. Minor model spread around peak timing and boundary-layer mixing accounts for the secondary probabilities on 31 °C and 33 °C; the next updated forecast cycles and any late adjustments in 500 hPa heights will be the key data releases likely to shift implied odds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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