Recent forecasts from NOAA-aligned models and meteorological services indicate Miami highs on September 15 will likely reach 87–89°F amid scattered afternoon thunderstorms, easterly winds of 6–13 mph, and high humidity that supports heat indices near 100°F but limits peak readings through cloud cover and precipitation. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where typical September daily maxima average near 88–90°F and afternoon convection often caps temperatures. Market-implied odds favor the 90–91°F bin as the top outcome, reflecting trader assessment of slight upside potential in current model runs if storms develop later than expected or steering patterns allow more insolation. Key upcoming updates include refined National Weather Service and NHC short-range guidance within the next 24–48 hours, which could shift probabilities if new data revises instability or moisture profiles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 15 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 15 de septiembre?
90-91°F 48%
88-89°F 23%
92-93°F 18%
86-87°F 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 sep 2026
79°F o menos
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
23%
90-91°F
48%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
1%
98°F o más
1%
90-91°F 48%
88-89°F 23%
92-93°F 18%
86-87°F 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 sep 2026
79°F o menos
$10 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$10 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$10 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$317 Vol.
13%
88-89°F
$133 Vol.
23%
90-91°F
$189 Vol.
48%
92-93°F
$28 Vol.
18%
94-95°F
$11 Vol.
5%
96-97°F
$10 Vol.
1%
98°F o más
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA-aligned models and meteorological services indicate Miami highs on September 15 will likely reach 87–89°F amid scattered afternoon thunderstorms, easterly winds of 6–13 mph, and high humidity that supports heat indices near 100°F but limits peak readings through cloud cover and precipitation. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where typical September daily maxima average near 88–90°F and afternoon convection often caps temperatures. Market-implied odds favor the 90–91°F bin as the top outcome, reflecting trader assessment of slight upside potential in current model runs if storms develop later than expected or steering patterns allow more insolation. Key upcoming updates include refined National Weather Service and NHC short-range guidance within the next 24–48 hours, which could shift probabilities if new data revises instability or moisture profiles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volumen
$469Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA-aligned models and meteorological services indicate Miami highs on September 15 will likely reach 87–89°F amid scattered afternoon thunderstorms, easterly winds of 6–13 mph, and high humidity that supports heat indices near 100°F but limits peak readings through cloud cover and precipitation. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where typical September daily maxima average near 88–90°F and afternoon convection often caps temperatures. Market-implied odds favor the 90–91°F bin as the top outcome, reflecting trader assessment of slight upside potential in current model runs if storms develop later than expected or steering patterns allow more insolation. Key upcoming updates include refined National Weather Service and NHC short-range guidance within the next 24–48 hours, which could shift probabilities if new data revises instability or moisture profiles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$469Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from NOAA-aligned models and meteorological services indicate Miami highs on September 15 will likely reach 87–89°F amid scattered afternoon thunderstorms, easterly winds of 6–13 mph, and high humidity that supports heat indices near 100°F but limits peak readings through cloud cover and precipitation. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where typical September daily maxima average near 88–90°F and afternoon convection often caps temperatures. Market-implied odds favor the 90–91°F bin as the top outcome, reflecting trader assessment of slight upside potential in current model runs if storms develop later than expected or steering patterns allow more insolation. Key upcoming updates include refined National Weather Service and NHC short-range guidance within the next 24–48 hours, which could shift probabilities if new data revises instability or moisture profiles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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