Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate moderate uncertainty in the overnight minimum over Amsterdam on September 15, with projected lows clustered near 15–17 °C amid southerly flow and increasing cloud cover. High pressure initially supports mild conditions, but a weak frontal passage and possible showers late in the period introduce variability in boundary-layer cooling and dew-point depression. Historical September minima average 11 °C, yet current 48-hour guidance shows limited spread toward either sub-12 °C radiational cooling or sustained 20 °C warmth, producing the balanced 46 % market-implied odds on those tails. Updated model runs and surface observations in the next 24 hours will refine the timing of any showers and resulting minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 15 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 15 de septiembre?
21°C o más 93%
11°C o menos 89%
12°C 38%
20°C 38%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 sep 2026
11°C o menos
89%
12°C
38%
13°C
20%
14°C
19%
15°C
22%
16°C
22%
17°C
22%
18°C
20%
19°C
20%
20°C
38%
21°C o más
93%
21°C o más 93%
11°C o menos 89%
12°C 38%
20°C 38%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 sep 2026
11°C o menos
$10 Vol.
89%
12°C
$10 Vol.
38%
13°C
$0 Vol.
20%
14°C
$0 Vol.
19%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
20%
19°C
$0 Vol.
20%
20°C
$10 Vol.
38%
21°C o más
$10 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate moderate uncertainty in the overnight minimum over Amsterdam on September 15, with projected lows clustered near 15–17 °C amid southerly flow and increasing cloud cover. High pressure initially supports mild conditions, but a weak frontal passage and possible showers late in the period introduce variability in boundary-layer cooling and dew-point depression. Historical September minima average 11 °C, yet current 48-hour guidance shows limited spread toward either sub-12 °C radiational cooling or sustained 20 °C warmth, producing the balanced 46 % market-implied odds on those tails. Updated model runs and surface observations in the next 24 hours will refine the timing of any showers and resulting minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volumen
$40Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate moderate uncertainty in the overnight minimum over Amsterdam on September 15, with projected lows clustered near 15–17 °C amid southerly flow and increasing cloud cover. High pressure initially supports mild conditions, but a weak frontal passage and possible showers late in the period introduce variability in boundary-layer cooling and dew-point depression. Historical September minima average 11 °C, yet current 48-hour guidance shows limited spread toward either sub-12 °C radiational cooling or sustained 20 °C warmth, producing the balanced 46 % market-implied odds on those tails. Updated model runs and surface observations in the next 24 hours will refine the timing of any showers and resulting minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$40Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate moderate uncertainty in the overnight minimum over Amsterdam on September 15, with projected lows clustered near 15–17 °C amid southerly flow and increasing cloud cover. High pressure initially supports mild conditions, but a weak frontal passage and possible showers late in the period introduce variability in boundary-layer cooling and dew-point depression. Historical September minima average 11 °C, yet current 48-hour guidance shows limited spread toward either sub-12 °C radiational cooling or sustained 20 °C warmth, producing the balanced 46 % market-implied odds on those tails. Updated model runs and surface observations in the next 24 hours will refine the timing of any showers and resulting minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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