Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate a high of 92–95°F for Miami on August 20, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, abundant sunshine, and above-average warmth lingering after mid-August records (including 96°F on August 14). These conditions favor the market’s leading 92–93°F (50.5%) and 94–95°F (36.5%) bins, as climatological August highs average near 89°F yet current guidance shows limited cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling to suppress readings. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread of model solutions and historical variability in peak daily temperatures when assigning the remaining probability mass to 96°F-plus outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 20 de agosto?
92-93°F 51%
94-95°F 37%
96-97°F 8%
90-91°F 7%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
51%
94-95°F
37%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F o más
<1%
92-93°F 51%
94-95°F 37%
96-97°F 8%
90-91°F 7%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
51%
94-95°F
37%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F o más
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate a high of 92–95°F for Miami on August 20, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, abundant sunshine, and above-average warmth lingering after mid-August records (including 96°F on August 14). These conditions favor the market’s leading 92–93°F (50.5%) and 94–95°F (36.5%) bins, as climatological August highs average near 89°F yet current guidance shows limited cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling to suppress readings. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread of model solutions and historical variability in peak daily temperatures when assigning the remaining probability mass to 96°F-plus outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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