August forecasts for Jinan place daytime highs near 31–33 °C on August 10, well above the 26 °C threshold that carries 99 % market-implied probability. Long-term climatology shows mean August maxima of 30–32 °C, with daily highs rarely falling below 28 °C during peak summer under prevailing subtropical high pressure. Current model consensus from regional and global ensembles indicates continued warm advection and limited cloud cover, keeping surface temperatures elevated through the daily maximum window used for official observations. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected cold-front passage or rapid marine-air intrusion, both statistically uncommon this late in the season and inconsistent with the latest dynamical guidance. Traders therefore treat the outcome as effectively settled barring major forecast revisions in the final 24 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 10 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 10 de agosto?
26°C o más 99.0%
16°C o menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
16°C o menos
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C o más
99%
26°C o más 99.0%
16°C o menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
16°C o menos
$255 Vol.
1%
17°C
$250 Vol.
1%
18°C
$255 Vol.
1%
19°C
$250 Vol.
1%
20°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$51 Vol.
1%
22°C
$50 Vol.
1%
23°C
$45 Vol.
1%
24°C
$167 Vol.
1%
25°C
$127 Vol.
1%
26°C o más
$600 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.August forecasts for Jinan place daytime highs near 31–33 °C on August 10, well above the 26 °C threshold that carries 99 % market-implied probability. Long-term climatology shows mean August maxima of 30–32 °C, with daily highs rarely falling below 28 °C during peak summer under prevailing subtropical high pressure. Current model consensus from regional and global ensembles indicates continued warm advection and limited cloud cover, keeping surface temperatures elevated through the daily maximum window used for official observations. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected cold-front passage or rapid marine-air intrusion, both statistically uncommon this late in the season and inconsistent with the latest dynamical guidance. Traders therefore treat the outcome as effectively settled barring major forecast revisions in the final 24 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$2,351Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.August forecasts for Jinan place daytime highs near 31–33 °C on August 10, well above the 26 °C threshold that carries 99 % market-implied probability. Long-term climatology shows mean August maxima of 30–32 °C, with daily highs rarely falling below 28 °C during peak summer under prevailing subtropical high pressure. Current model consensus from regional and global ensembles indicates continued warm advection and limited cloud cover, keeping surface temperatures elevated through the daily maximum window used for official observations. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected cold-front passage or rapid marine-air intrusion, both statistically uncommon this late in the season and inconsistent with the latest dynamical guidance. Traders therefore treat the outcome as effectively settled barring major forecast revisions in the final 24 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,351Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...August forecasts for Jinan place daytime highs near 31–33 °C on August 10, well above the 26 °C threshold that carries 99 % market-implied probability. Long-term climatology shows mean August maxima of 30–32 °C, with daily highs rarely falling below 28 °C during peak summer under prevailing subtropical high pressure. Current model consensus from regional and global ensembles indicates continued warm advection and limited cloud cover, keeping surface temperatures elevated through the daily maximum window used for official observations. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected cold-front passage or rapid marine-air intrusion, both statistically uncommon this late in the season and inconsistent with the latest dynamical guidance. Traders therefore treat the outcome as effectively settled barring major forecast revisions in the final 24 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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