**A cold front supported by an upper-level trough is forecast to influence Cape Town over the August 8–10 weekend, suppressing daytime maxima and aligning with the market’s leading 15°C outcome at 55.5% implied probability.** South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to post-frontal conditions featuring cloudy skies, scattered showers, fresh south-westerly winds, and limited insolation that typically restrict highs to 14–16 °C in the region’s Mediterranean winter climate. Historical climatology shows August averages near 17 °C, yet frontal passages frequently cap temperatures 1–3 °C below normal; ensemble runs indicate minimal warming potential before the next system arrives. The secondary 16 °C bucket (27.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and wind strength, while probabilities drop sharply above 17 °C given the reduced likelihood of clear, subsiding air. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and SAWS advisories through August 9 will further refine these odds ahead of resolution on the 10th.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 10 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 10 de agosto?
15°C 56%
16°C 28%
14°C 16%
13°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
10°C o menos
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
16%
15°C
56%
16°C
28%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o más
<1%
15°C 56%
16°C 28%
14°C 16%
13°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
10°C o menos
$129 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$230 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$213 Vol.
1%
13°C
$443 Vol.
3%
14°C
$410 Vol.
16%
15°C
$894 Vol.
56%
16°C
$624 Vol.
28%
17°C
$441 Vol.
2%
18°C
$239 Vol.
1%
19°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
20°C o más
$1,161 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A cold front supported by an upper-level trough is forecast to influence Cape Town over the August 8–10 weekend, suppressing daytime maxima and aligning with the market’s leading 15°C outcome at 55.5% implied probability.** South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to post-frontal conditions featuring cloudy skies, scattered showers, fresh south-westerly winds, and limited insolation that typically restrict highs to 14–16 °C in the region’s Mediterranean winter climate. Historical climatology shows August averages near 17 °C, yet frontal passages frequently cap temperatures 1–3 °C below normal; ensemble runs indicate minimal warming potential before the next system arrives. The secondary 16 °C bucket (27.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and wind strength, while probabilities drop sharply above 17 °C given the reduced likelihood of clear, subsiding air. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and SAWS advisories through August 9 will further refine these odds ahead of resolution on the 10th.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$4,892Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A cold front supported by an upper-level trough is forecast to influence Cape Town over the August 8–10 weekend, suppressing daytime maxima and aligning with the market’s leading 15°C outcome at 55.5% implied probability.** South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to post-frontal conditions featuring cloudy skies, scattered showers, fresh south-westerly winds, and limited insolation that typically restrict highs to 14–16 °C in the region’s Mediterranean winter climate. Historical climatology shows August averages near 17 °C, yet frontal passages frequently cap temperatures 1–3 °C below normal; ensemble runs indicate minimal warming potential before the next system arrives. The secondary 16 °C bucket (27.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and wind strength, while probabilities drop sharply above 17 °C given the reduced likelihood of clear, subsiding air. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and SAWS advisories through August 9 will further refine these odds ahead of resolution on the 10th.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,892Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**A cold front supported by an upper-level trough is forecast to influence Cape Town over the August 8–10 weekend, suppressing daytime maxima and aligning with the market’s leading 15°C outcome at 55.5% implied probability.** South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to post-frontal conditions featuring cloudy skies, scattered showers, fresh south-westerly winds, and limited insolation that typically restrict highs to 14–16 °C in the region’s Mediterranean winter climate. Historical climatology shows August averages near 17 °C, yet frontal passages frequently cap temperatures 1–3 °C below normal; ensemble runs indicate minimal warming potential before the next system arrives. The secondary 16 °C bucket (27.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and wind strength, while probabilities drop sharply above 17 °C given the reduced likelihood of clear, subsiding air. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and SAWS advisories through August 9 will further refine these odds ahead of resolution on the 10th.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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