Keisha Lance Bottoms secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia governor outright in the May 19, 2026 primary, clearing the 50% threshold amid a crowded field and avoiding a runoff. On the Republican side, Rick Jackson and Burt Jones led the May primary but fell short of a majority, advancing to a June 16 runoff that Jackson won after heavy spending and endorsements from President Trump and outgoing Governor Brian Kemp. General election polling between Bottoms and Jackson remains tight, with recent surveys showing margins of 1–7 points. These primary outcomes and the open-seat dynamics after Kemp’s term limit have shaped trader assessments of whether an outright first-round primary victory would occur, reflected in the current implied probability for a Yes resolution. Upcoming November 3 general election results will determine the final nominee matchup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
86% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Sí
86% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.Keisha Lance Bottoms secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia governor outright in the May 19, 2026 primary, clearing the 50% threshold amid a crowded field and avoiding a runoff. On the Republican side, Rick Jackson and Burt Jones led the May primary but fell short of a majority, advancing to a June 16 runoff that Jackson won after heavy spending and endorsements from President Trump and outgoing Governor Brian Kemp. General election polling between Bottoms and Jackson remains tight, with recent surveys showing margins of 1–7 points. These primary outcomes and the open-seat dynamics after Kemp’s term limit have shaped trader assessments of whether an outright first-round primary victory would occur, reflected in the current implied probability for a Yes resolution. Upcoming November 3 general election results will determine the final nominee matchup.
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
Volumen
$21Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.Keisha Lance Bottoms secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia governor outright in the May 19, 2026 primary, clearing the 50% threshold amid a crowded field and avoiding a runoff. On the Republican side, Rick Jackson and Burt Jones led the May primary but fell short of a majority, advancing to a June 16 runoff that Jackson won after heavy spending and endorsements from President Trump and outgoing Governor Brian Kemp. General election polling between Bottoms and Jackson remains tight, with recent surveys showing margins of 1–7 points. These primary outcomes and the open-seat dynamics after Kemp’s term limit have shaped trader assessments of whether an outright first-round primary victory would occur, reflected in the current implied probability for a Yes resolution. Upcoming November 3 general election results will determine the final nominee matchup.
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.
Volumen
$21Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Keisha Lance Bottoms secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia governor outright in the May 19, 2026 primary, clearing the 50% threshold amid a crowded field and avoiding a runoff. On the Republican side, Rick Jackson and Burt Jones led the May primary but fell short of a majority, advancing to a June 16 runoff that Jackson won after heavy spending and endorsements from President Trump and outgoing Governor Brian Kemp. General election polling between Bottoms and Jackson remains tight, with recent surveys showing margins of 1–7 points. These primary outcomes and the open-seat dynamics after Kemp’s term limit have shaped trader assessments of whether an outright first-round primary victory would occur, reflected in the current implied probability for a Yes resolution. Upcoming November 3 general election results will determine the final nominee matchup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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