Skip to main content

Para operar en EE. UU., ve a polymarket.us

icon for Drummond–Bois-Francs Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec
Política·Elecciones Mundiales

Drummond–Bois-Francs Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec

icon for Drummond–Bois-Francs Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec
Política·Elecciones Mundiales

Drummond–Bois-Francs Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec

Charles Page 57%

Sébastien Schneeberger 38%

Myriam Cournoyer 2.6%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Charles Page 57%

Sébastien Schneeberger 38%

Myriam Cournoyer 2.6%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Charles Page

Charles Page

$284 Vol.

57%

icon for Sébastien Schneeberger

Sébastien Schneeberger

$789 Vol.

38%

icon for Myriam Cournoyer

Myriam Cournoyer

$1,436 Vol.

3%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**Charles Page of the Parti Québécois holds the highest implied probability among traders at 59.5 percent in the Drummond–Bois-Francs riding for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, ahead of incumbent Sébastien Schneeberger of the Coalition Avenir Québec at 37.5 percent.** Projections from aggregators updated in early September show the PQ leading projected vote share in the low-to-mid 30s percent range compared with the CAQ in the mid-20s, reflecting broader provincial trends where the PQ has gained ground since the 2022 election while the CAQ has declined. Page’s August 22 nomination as a high-profile local alpinist and entrepreneur has added visibility in a riding redrawn for 2026, whereas Schneeberger seeks a further term after representing the area since 2012. Myriam Cournoyer of the Parti conservateur du Québec trails at low single digits. The outcome remains sensitive to final candidate confirmations before the September 17 deadline and any late shifts in regional turnout or party momentum ahead of election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$2,509
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**Charles Page of the Parti Québécois holds the highest implied probability among traders at 59.5 percent in the Drummond–Bois-Francs riding for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, ahead of incumbent Sébastien Schneeberger of the Coalition Avenir Québec at 37.5 percent.** Projections from aggregators updated in early September show the PQ leading projected vote share in the low-to-mid 30s percent range compared with the CAQ in the mid-20s, reflecting broader provincial trends where the PQ has gained ground since the 2022 election while the CAQ has declined. Page’s August 22 nomination as a high-profile local alpinist and entrepreneur has added visibility in a riding redrawn for 2026, whereas Schneeberger seeks a further term after representing the area since 2012. Myriam Cournoyer of the Parti conservateur du Québec trails at low single digits. The outcome remains sensitive to final candidate confirmations before the September 17 deadline and any late shifts in regional turnout or party momentum ahead of election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$2,509
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Relacionado

icon for Will Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?

45%
icon for ¿Ganará Valérie Hamel la próxima elección de la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec en Côte-du-Sud?

¿Ganará Valérie Hamel la próxima elección de la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec en Côte-du-Sud?

42%
Sí
icon for ¿Ganará Alexandre Leduc la próxima elección de la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec en Hochelaga-Maisonneuve?

¿Ganará Alexandre Leduc la próxima elección de la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec en Hochelaga-Maisonneuve?

52%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Drummond–Bois-Francs Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Charles Page" con 57%, seguido de "Sébastien Schneeberger" con 38%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 57¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 57% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Drummond–Bois-Francs Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 31, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Drummond–Bois-Francs Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Drummond–Bois-Francs Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" es "Charles Page" con 57%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 57% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Sébastien Schneeberger" con 38%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Drummond–Bois-Francs Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.