Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate trades near 1,488 in mid-August 2026 amid ongoing stabilization under the Milei administration’s fiscal surplus, reserve-building efforts, and inflation-linked crawling band. Monthly inflation has eased toward 2 percent or lower after peaking earlier, supporting modest depreciation expectations through year-end. Market-implied odds favor outcomes below 1,700, reflecting trader consensus that continued monetary tightening, IMF-supported external balance, and export-driven reserve accumulation will limit further weakening despite persistent price pressures. Key near-term catalysts include September–December inflation prints and central-bank foreign-exchange purchases, which could anchor the rate closer to 1,550–1,650 if disinflation holds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$21,601 Vol.
$21,601 Vol.
30 dic 2026
<1600,00
43%
1600,00–1699,99
33%
1700,00–1799,99
9%
1800,00–1899,99
6%
1900,00–1999,99
1%
2000,00+
3%
$21,601 Vol.
$21,601 Vol.
30 dic 2026
<1600,00
$2,450 Vol.
43%
1600,00–1699,99
$2,015 Vol.
33%
1700,00–1799,99
$2,198 Vol.
9%
1800,00–1899,99
$1,626 Vol.
6%
1900,00–1999,99
$11,566 Vol.
1%
2000,00+
$1,747 Vol.
3%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate trades near 1,488 in mid-August 2026 amid ongoing stabilization under the Milei administration’s fiscal surplus, reserve-building efforts, and inflation-linked crawling band. Monthly inflation has eased toward 2 percent or lower after peaking earlier, supporting modest depreciation expectations through year-end. Market-implied odds favor outcomes below 1,700, reflecting trader consensus that continued monetary tightening, IMF-supported external balance, and export-driven reserve accumulation will limit further weakening despite persistent price pressures. Key near-term catalysts include September–December inflation prints and central-bank foreign-exchange purchases, which could anchor the rate closer to 1,550–1,650 if disinflation holds.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volumen
$21,601Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate trades near 1,488 in mid-August 2026 amid ongoing stabilization under the Milei administration’s fiscal surplus, reserve-building efforts, and inflation-linked crawling band. Monthly inflation has eased toward 2 percent or lower after peaking earlier, supporting modest depreciation expectations through year-end. Market-implied odds favor outcomes below 1,700, reflecting trader consensus that continued monetary tightening, IMF-supported external balance, and export-driven reserve accumulation will limit further weakening despite persistent price pressures. Key near-term catalysts include September–December inflation prints and central-bank foreign-exchange purchases, which could anchor the rate closer to 1,550–1,650 if disinflation holds.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$21,601Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate trades near 1,488 in mid-August 2026 amid ongoing stabilization under the Milei administration’s fiscal surplus, reserve-building efforts, and inflation-linked crawling band. Monthly inflation has eased toward 2 percent or lower after peaking earlier, supporting modest depreciation expectations through year-end. Market-implied odds favor outcomes below 1,700, reflecting trader consensus that continued monetary tightening, IMF-supported external balance, and export-driven reserve accumulation will limit further weakening despite persistent price pressures. Key near-term catalysts include September–December inflation prints and central-bank foreign-exchange purchases, which could anchor the rate closer to 1,550–1,650 if disinflation holds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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