Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate, currently near 1,490, trades within a managed crawling band expanded monthly in line with lagged inflation under the January 2026 framework. Persistent though sharply lower inflation—monthly readings near 1.9% by mid-2026 and full-year forecasts of 30-32%—continues to pressure the peso, supporting trader pricing of further gradual depreciation through year-end. Reserve accumulation needs, external debt service, and the central bank’s dollar-purchase mandate within the band reinforce expectations that the rate will exceed 1,600 by December 2026, the dominant market-implied outcome. Recent reserve dips tied to IMF payments and the shift from a fixed 1% monthly crawl to inflation-adjusted bands have anchored this path, with limited scope for rapid stabilization absent stronger capital inflows.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1600.00+ 59%
1500,00–1549,99 15.0%
1450,00–1499,99 13.5%
1550,00–1599,99 10.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 dic 2026
<1250,00
3%
1250,00–1299,99
<1%
1300,00–1349,99
<1%
1350,00–1399,99
<1%
1400,00–1449,99
4%
1450,00–1499,99
14%
1500,00–1549,99
15%
1550,00–1599,99
11%
1600.00+
64%
1600.00+ 59%
1500,00–1549,99 15.0%
1450,00–1499,99 13.5%
1550,00–1599,99 10.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 dic 2026
<1250,00
$536 Vol.
3%
1250,00–1299,99
$790 Vol.
<1%
1300,00–1349,99
$677 Vol.
<1%
1350,00–1399,99
$736 Vol.
<1%
1400,00–1449,99
$1,239 Vol.
4%
1450,00–1499,99
$1,264 Vol.
14%
1500,00–1549,99
$1,223 Vol.
15%
1550,00–1599,99
$694 Vol.
11%
1600.00+
$1,902 Vol.
64%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate, currently near 1,490, trades within a managed crawling band expanded monthly in line with lagged inflation under the January 2026 framework. Persistent though sharply lower inflation—monthly readings near 1.9% by mid-2026 and full-year forecasts of 30-32%—continues to pressure the peso, supporting trader pricing of further gradual depreciation through year-end. Reserve accumulation needs, external debt service, and the central bank’s dollar-purchase mandate within the band reinforce expectations that the rate will exceed 1,600 by December 2026, the dominant market-implied outcome. Recent reserve dips tied to IMF payments and the shift from a fixed 1% monthly crawl to inflation-adjusted bands have anchored this path, with limited scope for rapid stabilization absent stronger capital inflows.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Volumen
$9,062Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate, currently near 1,490, trades within a managed crawling band expanded monthly in line with lagged inflation under the January 2026 framework. Persistent though sharply lower inflation—monthly readings near 1.9% by mid-2026 and full-year forecasts of 30-32%—continues to pressure the peso, supporting trader pricing of further gradual depreciation through year-end. Reserve accumulation needs, external debt service, and the central bank’s dollar-purchase mandate within the band reinforce expectations that the rate will exceed 1,600 by December 2026, the dominant market-implied outcome. Recent reserve dips tied to IMF payments and the shift from a fixed 1% monthly crawl to inflation-adjusted bands have anchored this path, with limited scope for rapid stabilization absent stronger capital inflows.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$9,062Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate, currently near 1,490, trades within a managed crawling band expanded monthly in line with lagged inflation under the January 2026 framework. Persistent though sharply lower inflation—monthly readings near 1.9% by mid-2026 and full-year forecasts of 30-32%—continues to pressure the peso, supporting trader pricing of further gradual depreciation through year-end. Reserve accumulation needs, external debt service, and the central bank’s dollar-purchase mandate within the band reinforce expectations that the rate will exceed 1,600 by December 2026, the dominant market-implied outcome. Recent reserve dips tied to IMF payments and the shift from a fixed 1% monthly crawl to inflation-adjusted bands have anchored this path, with limited scope for rapid stabilization absent stronger capital inflows.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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