Recent polling ahead of the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the BSW consistently at 3–5 percent, placing it near or below the five-percent threshold for seats. Multiple surveys from late August and early September, including those by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and INSA, place the party at four percent amid an AfD lead above 40 percent and stable support for the CDU, Linke, and SPD. The BSW’s first-time candidacy in the state, its emphasis on opposition rather than coalition participation, and national trends of declining voter share since the 2025 federal election have limited its momentum in this contest. Trader consensus reflected in current prices aligns with these late-campaign figures, where small shifts in turnout or undecided voters could still determine whether the party clears the hurdle.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertParlamentswahl Sachsen-Anhalt: BSW-Stimmanteil?
Parlamentswahl Sachsen-Anhalt: BSW-Stimmanteil?
3–5 % 79%
<3% 13%
5-7 % 10%
7 %+ <1%
$14,899 Vol.
$14,899 Vol.
6. Sep. 2026
<3%
13%
3–5 %
79%
5-7 %
10%
7 %+
1%
3–5 % 79%
<3% 13%
5-7 % 10%
7 %+ <1%
$14,899 Vol.
$14,899 Vol.
6. Sep. 2026
<3%
$9,578 Vol.
13%
3–5 %
$2,007 Vol.
79%
5-7 %
$2,158 Vol.
10%
7 %+
$1,156 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling ahead of the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the BSW consistently at 3–5 percent, placing it near or below the five-percent threshold for seats. Multiple surveys from late August and early September, including those by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and INSA, place the party at four percent amid an AfD lead above 40 percent and stable support for the CDU, Linke, and SPD. The BSW’s first-time candidacy in the state, its emphasis on opposition rather than coalition participation, and national trends of declining voter share since the 2025 federal election have limited its momentum in this contest. Trader consensus reflected in current prices aligns with these late-campaign figures, where small shifts in turnout or undecided voters could still determine whether the party clears the hurdle.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Volumen
$14,899Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling ahead of the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the BSW consistently at 3–5 percent, placing it near or below the five-percent threshold for seats. Multiple surveys from late August and early September, including those by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and INSA, place the party at four percent amid an AfD lead above 40 percent and stable support for the CDU, Linke, and SPD. The BSW’s first-time candidacy in the state, its emphasis on opposition rather than coalition participation, and national trends of declining voter share since the 2025 federal election have limited its momentum in this contest. Trader consensus reflected in current prices aligns with these late-campaign figures, where small shifts in turnout or undecided voters could still determine whether the party clears the hurdle.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volumen
$14,899Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the BSW consistently at 3–5 percent, placing it near or below the five-percent threshold for seats. Multiple surveys from late August and early September, including those by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and INSA, place the party at four percent amid an AfD lead above 40 percent and stable support for the CDU, Linke, and SPD. The BSW’s first-time candidacy in the state, its emphasis on opposition rather than coalition participation, and national trends of declining voter share since the 2025 federal election have limited its momentum in this contest. Trader consensus reflected in current prices aligns with these late-campaign figures, where small shifts in turnout or undecided voters could still determine whether the party clears the hurdle.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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