Recent polling from INSA and Infratest dimap places Die Linke at 11-12 percent in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, positioning the party between the SPD and CDU while AfD leads and BSW draws potential support from the left. This range keeps the 8-11 percent and 11-14 percent buckets nearly even in trader pricing, with the <8 percent outcome also competitive. Stability stems from the party's governing role alongside the SPD and consistent eastern German trends, yet the race remains tight due to campaign volatility, turnout uncertainty, and competition for third place. Late developments such as shifts in BSW support, CDU performance, or mobilization among core voters could separate the outcomes before the September 20 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertParlamentswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern: Linke Stimmenanteil?
8-11 % 45%
11–14 % 45%
<8% 44%
14%+ 39%
<8%
44%
8-11 %
45%
11–14 %
45%
14%+
39%
8-11 % 45%
11–14 % 45%
<8% 44%
14%+ 39%
<8%
44%
8-11 %
45%
11–14 %
45%
14%+
39%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 2:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from INSA and Infratest dimap places Die Linke at 11-12 percent in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, positioning the party between the SPD and CDU while AfD leads and BSW draws potential support from the left. This range keeps the 8-11 percent and 11-14 percent buckets nearly even in trader pricing, with the <8 percent outcome also competitive. Stability stems from the party's governing role alongside the SPD and consistent eastern German trends, yet the race remains tight due to campaign volatility, turnout uncertainty, and competition for third place. Late developments such as shifts in BSW support, CDU performance, or mobilization among core voters could separate the outcomes before the September 20 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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