Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district, covering much of Philadelphia, carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+40 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. The 2026 race became an open seat after incumbent Dwight Evans opted against another term, prompting a Democratic primary that produced nominee Christopher Rabb. Republican and independent challengers face structural barriers including limited fundraising, weak organizational presence, and the district's urban voter base. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or national shifts capable of altering the outcome. A Democratic scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unprecedented turnout collapse would represent the narrow pathways for any meaningful change before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertPA-03 Wahlsieger
PA-03 Wahlsieger
$30,993 Vol.
$30,993 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
97%
Republikanische Partei
2%
$30,993 Vol.
$30,993 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$19,637 Vol.
97%
Republikanische Partei
$11,356 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district, covering much of Philadelphia, carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+40 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. The 2026 race became an open seat after incumbent Dwight Evans opted against another term, prompting a Democratic primary that produced nominee Christopher Rabb. Republican and independent challengers face structural barriers including limited fundraising, weak organizational presence, and the district's urban voter base. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or national shifts capable of altering the outcome. A Democratic scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unprecedented turnout collapse would represent the narrow pathways for any meaningful change before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$30,993Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district, covering much of Philadelphia, carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+40 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. The 2026 race became an open seat after incumbent Dwight Evans opted against another term, prompting a Democratic primary that produced nominee Christopher Rabb. Republican and independent challengers face structural barriers including limited fundraising, weak organizational presence, and the district's urban voter base. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or national shifts capable of altering the outcome. A Democratic scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unprecedented turnout collapse would represent the narrow pathways for any meaningful change before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$30,993Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district, covering much of Philadelphia, carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+40 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. The 2026 race became an open seat after incumbent Dwight Evans opted against another term, prompting a Democratic primary that produced nominee Christopher Rabb. Republican and independent challengers face structural barriers including limited fundraising, weak organizational presence, and the district's urban voter base. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or national shifts capable of altering the outcome. A Democratic scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unprecedented turnout collapse would represent the narrow pathways for any meaningful change before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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