Claire Valdez holds a commanding lead in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District, with traders assigning her roughly 75-78% implied probability. Recent federal filings showed Valdez raising more than double Reynoso’s total since April, bolstered by the endorsement of Mayor Mamdani and her profile as a state assembly member and union organizer. Reynoso, the Brooklyn borough president, trails amid lower fundraising and limited momentum shifts from the early June debate with Valdez and Julie Won. The deep-blue open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Nydia Velázquez, features a crowded field, but low probabilities for remaining candidates reflect their weaker campaign infrastructure and donor support heading into early voting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertClaire Valdez 78%
Antonio Reynoso 21%
Julie Won <1%
Kristen Gonzalez <1%
$141,523 Vol.
$141,523 Vol.
Claire Valdez
78%
Antonio Reynoso
21%
Julie Won
1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
Claire Valdez 78%
Antonio Reynoso 21%
Julie Won <1%
Kristen Gonzalez <1%
$141,523 Vol.
$141,523 Vol.
Claire Valdez
78%
Antonio Reynoso
21%
Julie Won
1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Claire Valdez holds a commanding lead in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District, with traders assigning her roughly 75-78% implied probability. Recent federal filings showed Valdez raising more than double Reynoso’s total since April, bolstered by the endorsement of Mayor Mamdani and her profile as a state assembly member and union organizer. Reynoso, the Brooklyn borough president, trails amid lower fundraising and limited momentum shifts from the early June debate with Valdez and Julie Won. The deep-blue open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Nydia Velázquez, features a crowded field, but low probabilities for remaining candidates reflect their weaker campaign infrastructure and donor support heading into early voting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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