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Welt·Australien

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

icon for Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
Welt·Australien

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Anthony Albanese 40%

Angus Taylor 20%

Pauline Hanson 16%

Jim Chalmers 5.9%

Polymarket

$16,759 Vol.

Anthony Albanese 40%

Angus Taylor 20%

Pauline Hanson 16%

Jim Chalmers 5.9%

Polymarket

$16,759 Vol.

icon for Anthony Albanese

Anthony Albanese

$1,568 Vol.

40%

icon for Angus Taylor

Angus Taylor

$2,059 Vol.

20%

icon for Pauline Hanson

Pauline Hanson

$11,433 Vol.

16%

icon for Jim Chalmers

Jim Chalmers

$820 Vol.

6%

icon for Robbie Katter

Robbie Katter

$391 Vol.

1%

icon for Larissa Waters

Larissa Waters

$487 Vol.

1%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Australian polling shows a highly fragmented electorate ahead of the 2028 federal election, with One Nation and Pauline Hanson surging in primary votes and preferred prime minister metrics while the Coalition under Angus Taylor records historic lows and Labor under incumbent Anthony Albanese faces soft support. A recent Western Australian by-election victory for One Nation, combined with volatility over migration policy, GST arrangements, and data centre regulations, has reinforced uncertainty about which party or coalition will secure a majority. This environment sustains tight implied probabilities across multiple candidates, as traders price in the potential for minority government, crossbench influence, or leadership shifts within the major parties before polling day.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$16,759
Enddatum
23. Sep. 2028
Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Australian polling shows a highly fragmented electorate ahead of the 2028 federal election, with One Nation and Pauline Hanson surging in primary votes and preferred prime minister metrics while the Coalition under Angus Taylor records historic lows and Labor under incumbent Anthony Albanese faces soft support. A recent Western Australian by-election victory for One Nation, combined with volatility over migration policy, GST arrangements, and data centre regulations, has reinforced uncertainty about which party or coalition will secure a majority. This environment sustains tight implied probabilities across multiple candidates, as traders price in the potential for minority government, crossbench influence, or leadership shifts within the major parties before polling day.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$16,759
Enddatum
23. Sep. 2028
Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Anthony Albanese" mit 40%, gefolgt von „Angus Taylor" mit 20%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 40¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 40% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $16.8K generiert, seit der Markt am Jun 10, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?" ist „Anthony Albanese" mit 40%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 40% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Angus Taylor" mit 20%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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