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Wahlen·Hauptwahl

Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

icon for Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Wahlen·Hauptwahl

Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Željka Cvijanović 87%

Marinko Božović 5.3%

Siniša Karan 2.9%

Branko Blanuša 1.6%

Polymarket

$32,076 Vol.

Željka Cvijanović 87%

Marinko Božović 5.3%

Siniša Karan 2.9%

Branko Blanuša 1.6%

Polymarket

$32,076 Vol.

icon for Željka Cvijanović

Željka Cvijanović

$27,074 Vol.

87%

icon for Marinko Božović

Marinko Božović

$300 Vol.

5%

icon for Siniša Karan

Siniša Karan

$1,410 Vol.

3%

icon for Branko Blanuša

Branko Blanuša

$1,068 Vol.

2%

icon for Draško Stanivuković

Draško Stanivuković

$939 Vol.

1%

icon for Nebojša Vukanović

Nebojša Vukanović

$1,286 Vol.

1%

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Željka Cvijanović holds dominant trader consensus at 87% for the Serb seat on Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite Presidency in the October 4, 2026 general election, driven by her incumbency since 2022 and nomination as the candidate of the ruling SNSD-led coalition in Republika Srpska.** SNSD’s organizational reach, voter base, and recent narrow victory by its candidate Siniša Karan in the 2025–26 RS presidential contest (confirmed after a February 2026 rerun) underpin expectations of strong entity-level support. Coalition partners formally backed Cvijanović alongside Savo Minić for RS president in late June 2026, following internal party processes and a joint action agreement. Opposition candidates—Marinko Božović (SDS), Nebojša Vukanović (For Justice and Order), Draško Stanivuković, and Branko Blanuša—remain fragmented with limited polling visibility and no unified front capable of overcoming SNSD’s structural advantages in RS. Siniša Karan’s lower odds reflect his current RS role rather than a direct challenge for the BiH seat. No major late developments have altered the landscape ahead of the vote.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$32,076
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Željka Cvijanović holds dominant trader consensus at 87% for the Serb seat on Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite Presidency in the October 4, 2026 general election, driven by her incumbency since 2022 and nomination as the candidate of the ruling SNSD-led coalition in Republika Srpska.** SNSD’s organizational reach, voter base, and recent narrow victory by its candidate Siniša Karan in the 2025–26 RS presidential contest (confirmed after a February 2026 rerun) underpin expectations of strong entity-level support. Coalition partners formally backed Cvijanović alongside Savo Minić for RS president in late June 2026, following internal party processes and a joint action agreement. Opposition candidates—Marinko Božović (SDS), Nebojša Vukanović (For Justice and Order), Draško Stanivuković, and Branko Blanuša—remain fragmented with limited polling visibility and no unified front capable of overcoming SNSD’s structural advantages in RS. Siniša Karan’s lower odds reflect his current RS role rather than a direct challenge for the BiH seat. No major late developments have altered the landscape ahead of the vote.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$32,076
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Verwandte

icon for Wird Bakir Izetbegović nach den Wahlen 2026 das bosniakische Mitglied des Präsidiums von Bosnien und Herzegowina sein?

Wird Bakir Izetbegović nach den Wahlen 2026 das bosniakische Mitglied des Präsidiums von Bosnien und Herzegowina sein?

54%
Ja
icon for Wird Darijana Filipović nach den allgemeinen Wahlen 2026 das kroatische Mitglied des Präsidiums von Bosnien und Herzegowina sein?

Wird Darijana Filipović nach den allgemeinen Wahlen 2026 das kroatische Mitglied des Präsidiums von Bosnien und Herzegowina sein?

70%
Ja
icon for Wird Vladan Đokić die nächste Präsidentschaftswahl in Serbien gewinnen?

Wird Vladan Đokić die nächste Präsidentschaftswahl in Serbien gewinnen?

21%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Željka Cvijanović" mit 87%, gefolgt von „Marinko Božović" mit 5%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 87¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 87% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $32.1K generiert, seit der Markt am May 12, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 6 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" ist „Željka Cvijanović" mit 87%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 87% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Marinko Božović" mit 5%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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