The September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election features a fragmented party landscape with no clear majority, keeping implied probabilities for leading mayoral contenders tightly clustered as traders weigh coalition scenarios. Incumbent Kai Wegner’s July withdrawal as CDU lead candidate after a power outage controversy elevated Stefan Evers, the finance senator, while Elif Eralp of Die Linke benefits from her party’s polling edge near 22 percent. Other parties including the Greens, SPD, and AfD sit in a narrow band, underscoring that the next governing mayor will emerge from post-election negotiations rather than direct selection. Late polling shifts, turnout among younger voters, or announced coalition preferences could widen gaps ahead of the vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertElif Eralp 48%
Stefan Evers 39%
Werner Graf 10.7%
Steffen Krach 1.1%
$74,864 Vol.
$74,864 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
Elif Eralp
48%
Stefan Evers
39%
Werner Graf
11%
Steffen Krach
1%
Kristin Brinker
<1%
Elif Eralp 48%
Stefan Evers 39%
Werner Graf 10.7%
Steffen Krach 1.1%
$74,864 Vol.
$74,864 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
Elif Eralp
$39,973 Vol.
48%
Stefan Evers
$20,946 Vol.
39%
Werner Graf
$9,004 Vol.
11%
Steffen Krach
$2,332 Vol.
1%
Kristin Brinker
$2,609 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election features a fragmented party landscape with no clear majority, keeping implied probabilities for leading mayoral contenders tightly clustered as traders weigh coalition scenarios. Incumbent Kai Wegner’s July withdrawal as CDU lead candidate after a power outage controversy elevated Stefan Evers, the finance senator, while Elif Eralp of Die Linke benefits from her party’s polling edge near 22 percent. Other parties including the Greens, SPD, and AfD sit in a narrow band, underscoring that the next governing mayor will emerge from post-election negotiations rather than direct selection. Late polling shifts, turnout among younger voters, or announced coalition preferences could widen gaps ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
Volumen
$74,864Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election features a fragmented party landscape with no clear majority, keeping implied probabilities for leading mayoral contenders tightly clustered as traders weigh coalition scenarios. Incumbent Kai Wegner’s July withdrawal as CDU lead candidate after a power outage controversy elevated Stefan Evers, the finance senator, while Elif Eralp of Die Linke benefits from her party’s polling edge near 22 percent. Other parties including the Greens, SPD, and AfD sit in a narrow band, underscoring that the next governing mayor will emerge from post-election negotiations rather than direct selection. Late polling shifts, turnout among younger voters, or announced coalition preferences could widen gaps ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$74,864Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election features a fragmented party landscape with no clear majority, keeping implied probabilities for leading mayoral contenders tightly clustered as traders weigh coalition scenarios. Incumbent Kai Wegner’s July withdrawal as CDU lead candidate after a power outage controversy elevated Stefan Evers, the finance senator, while Elif Eralp of Die Linke benefits from her party’s polling edge near 22 percent. Other parties including the Greens, SPD, and AfD sit in a narrow band, underscoring that the next governing mayor will emerge from post-election negotiations rather than direct selection. Late polling shifts, turnout among younger voters, or announced coalition preferences could widen gaps ahead of the vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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