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icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Politik·Frankreich

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Politik·Frankreich

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

$157,214 Vol.

29. Apr. 2027
Polymarket

$157,214 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$11,845 Vol.

88%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$2,597 Vol.

46%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$10,722 Vol.

42%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$24,970 Vol.

11%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$22,581 Vol.

7%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$8,741 Vol.

7%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$4,823 Vol.

7%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$936 Vol.

6%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$1,270 Vol.

6%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$4,114 Vol.

5%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$2,814 Vol.

5%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,443 Vol.

5%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$1,353 Vol.

5%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$695 Vol.

5%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,536 Vol.

5%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$799 Vol.

5%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,274 Vol.

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$3,066 Vol.

4%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$1,518 Vol.

4%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$5,606 Vol.

3%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$3,001 Vol.

3%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$2,762 Vol.

3%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$3,593 Vol.

3%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$5,679 Vol.

3%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,011 Vol.

2%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,282 Vol.

2%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$2,865 Vol.

2%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$2,090 Vol.

2%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$758 Vol.

2%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$4,777 Vol.

2%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$3,973 Vol.

2%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$3,193 Vol.

2%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,769 Vol.

2%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$1,547 Vol.

2%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$1,541 Vol.

1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$1,558 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent polling from September 2026 shows Marine Le Pen of the National Rally maintaining a commanding 33-36% first-round lead, reflecting sustained voter support for the party amid economic pressures and Macron-era fatigue. Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise registers 15-17% and reaches hypothetical runoffs in most tested scenarios, while Édouard Philippe leads centrist options at 14-19% but trails in many head-to-head matchups. Fragmentation among center and center-right figures, including Gabriel Attal, limits consolidation behind a single challenger. These patterns align with trader consensus on Le Pen's strong position to advance, with probabilities for Mélenchon or Philippe reflecting uncertainty over which opponent consolidates enough support before the April 2027 first round.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$157,214
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent polling from September 2026 shows Marine Le Pen of the National Rally maintaining a commanding 33-36% first-round lead, reflecting sustained voter support for the party amid economic pressures and Macron-era fatigue. Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise registers 15-17% and reaches hypothetical runoffs in most tested scenarios, while Édouard Philippe leads centrist options at 14-19% but trails in many head-to-head matchups. Fragmentation among center and center-right figures, including Gabriel Attal, limits consolidation behind a single challenger. These patterns align with trader consensus on Le Pen's strong position to advance, with probabilities for Mélenchon or Philippe reflecting uncertainty over which opponent consolidates enough support before the April 2027 first round.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$157,214
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

Verwandte

icon for Wird Marine Le Pen die französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027 gewinnen?

Wird Marine Le Pen die französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027 gewinnen?

36%
Ja
icon for Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

97%
icon for Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

88%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 36 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Marine Le Pen" mit 88%, gefolgt von „Édouard Philippe" mit 46%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 88¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 88% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $157.2K generiert, seit der Markt am Jun 1, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 36 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" ist „Marine Le Pen" mit 88%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 88% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Édouard Philippe" mit 46%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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