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icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Wahlen·Französische Wahlen

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Wahlen·Französische Wahlen

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$65,214 Vol.

22. Apr. 2027
Polymarket

$65,214 Vol.

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$1,773 Vol.

59%

Jordan Bardella

$4,893 Vol.

8%

Michel Barnier

$228 Vol.

12%

Valérie Pécresse

$511 Vol.

5%

Élisabeth Borne

$320 Vol.

14%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$587 Vol.

7%

Jean Castex

$671 Vol.

5%

Gérald Darmanin

$863 Vol.

3%

Sébastien Lecornu

$2,081 Vol.

22%

François Bayrou

$553 Vol.

6%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$547 Vol.

46%

Carole Delga

$184 Vol.

11%

Olivier Faure

$2,047 Vol.

37%

François Hollande

$1,029 Vol.

34%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$9,780 Vol.

95%

Manuel Bompard

$2,929 Vol.

6%

Mathilde Panot

$17,061 Vol.

5%

Dominique de Villepin

$247 Vol.

50%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several prominent figures have already declared candidacies or secured party nominations for the April 2027 French presidential election, including Marine Le Pen in July 2026 following a reduced ineligibility period from her embezzlement conviction, Jean-Luc Mélenchon earlier in the year, Gabriel Attal for Renaissance, and Bruno Retailleau as the Republicans' choice after an April 2026 member vote. Emmanuel Macron's constitutional term limit has opened a crowded field of over a dozen declared or potential contenders across the center, right, and left, with additional figures such as Édouard Philippe and Jordan Bardella positioned as frontrunners or alternatives in polling. Trader attention centers on further 2026 announcements amid ongoing party negotiations, signature requirements for ballot access, and shifting alliances that could influence who enters before year-end.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$65,214
Enddatum
23. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several prominent figures have already declared candidacies or secured party nominations for the April 2027 French presidential election, including Marine Le Pen in July 2026 following a reduced ineligibility period from her embezzlement conviction, Jean-Luc Mélenchon earlier in the year, Gabriel Attal for Renaissance, and Bruno Retailleau as the Republicans' choice after an April 2026 member vote. Emmanuel Macron's constitutional term limit has opened a crowded field of over a dozen declared or potential contenders across the center, right, and left, with additional figures such as Édouard Philippe and Jordan Bardella positioned as frontrunners or alternatives in polling. Trader attention centers on further 2026 announcements amid ongoing party negotiations, signature requirements for ballot access, and shifting alliances that could influence who enters before year-end.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$65,214
Enddatum
23. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Verwandte

icon for Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

95%
icon for Wird Marine Le Pen die französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027 gewinnen?

Wird Marine Le Pen die französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027 gewinnen?

33%
Ja
icon for Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

87%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 21 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Gabriel Attal" mit 100%, gefolgt von „Jean-Luc Mélenchon" mit 100%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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