United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election holding roughly 310 seats and is positioned to retain a constitutional majority through dominance of the 225 single-member districts via administrative resources and high regional turnout mobilization. Recent polls show its party-list support at 32–37 percent amid economic pressures and wartime strains, yet the party’s structural advantages in constituencies and the exclusion of non-systemic challengers limit downside risk. The leading 325–354 seat ranges reflect trader expectations of modest gains from disciplined vote delivery and limited veteran-candidate integration, while narrower bands around 310 or below price in any erosion from public fatigue. Key differentiators among outcomes include the scale of single-district sweeps versus party-list shortfalls and any late adjustments in turnout targets or candidate slates. Scheduled primaries, regional experiments, and the three-day voting format remain the primary near-term variables shaping final seat totals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWie viele Sitze wird Einiges Russland bei den nächsten russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?
Wie viele Sitze wird Einiges Russland bei den nächsten russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?
325–339 35%
340–354 23%
310–324 18.7%
355+ 13%
$185,694 Vol.
$185,694 Vol.
19. Sep. 2026
<280
3%
280–294
4%
295–309
7%
310–324
19%
325–339
35%
340–354
23%
355+
13%
325–339 35%
340–354 23%
310–324 18.7%
355+ 13%
$185,694 Vol.
$185,694 Vol.
19. Sep. 2026
<280
$26,808 Vol.
3%
280–294
$16,696 Vol.
4%
295–309
$11,907 Vol.
7%
310–324
$14,918 Vol.
19%
325–339
$27,806 Vol.
35%
340–354
$48,826 Vol.
23%
355+
$38,731 Vol.
13%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election holding roughly 310 seats and is positioned to retain a constitutional majority through dominance of the 225 single-member districts via administrative resources and high regional turnout mobilization. Recent polls show its party-list support at 32–37 percent amid economic pressures and wartime strains, yet the party’s structural advantages in constituencies and the exclusion of non-systemic challengers limit downside risk. The leading 325–354 seat ranges reflect trader expectations of modest gains from disciplined vote delivery and limited veteran-candidate integration, while narrower bands around 310 or below price in any erosion from public fatigue. Key differentiators among outcomes include the scale of single-district sweeps versus party-list shortfalls and any late adjustments in turnout targets or candidate slates. Scheduled primaries, regional experiments, and the three-day voting format remain the primary near-term variables shaping final seat totals.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volumen
$185,694Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election holding roughly 310 seats and is positioned to retain a constitutional majority through dominance of the 225 single-member districts via administrative resources and high regional turnout mobilization. Recent polls show its party-list support at 32–37 percent amid economic pressures and wartime strains, yet the party’s structural advantages in constituencies and the exclusion of non-systemic challengers limit downside risk. The leading 325–354 seat ranges reflect trader expectations of modest gains from disciplined vote delivery and limited veteran-candidate integration, while narrower bands around 310 or below price in any erosion from public fatigue. Key differentiators among outcomes include the scale of single-district sweeps versus party-list shortfalls and any late adjustments in turnout targets or candidate slates. Scheduled primaries, regional experiments, and the three-day voting format remain the primary near-term variables shaping final seat totals.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$185,694Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election holding roughly 310 seats and is positioned to retain a constitutional majority through dominance of the 225 single-member districts via administrative resources and high regional turnout mobilization. Recent polls show its party-list support at 32–37 percent amid economic pressures and wartime strains, yet the party’s structural advantages in constituencies and the exclusion of non-systemic challengers limit downside risk. The leading 325–354 seat ranges reflect trader expectations of modest gains from disciplined vote delivery and limited veteran-candidate integration, while narrower bands around 310 or below price in any erosion from public fatigue. Key differentiators among outcomes include the scale of single-district sweeps versus party-list shortfalls and any late adjustments in turnout targets or candidate slates. Scheduled primaries, regional experiments, and the three-day voting format remain the primary near-term variables shaping final seat totals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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