Recent polls in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern show the AfD holding a narrow lead at around 35% ahead of the September 20 election, with the SPD closing to 32% after gaining three points in the latest Infratest dimap survey. This positions the SPD as the clear frontrunner for second place in the Landtag, well ahead of the Left at 11%, CDU at 8%, and smaller parties like the Greens near the 5% threshold. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices aligns with these trends and historical patterns of SPD strength under Minister President Manuela Schwesig, while low probabilities for the AfD or others in second reflect their limited upside in current data. Upcoming final polls and turnout dynamics remain the main variables that could still shift relative standings before voting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertParlamentswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern: 2. Platz
SPD 64%
AfD 21.4%
CDU <1%
Grüne <1%
$37,633 Vol.
$37,633 Vol.

SPD
64%

AfD
21%

CDU
<1%

Grüne
<1%

FDP
<1%

Linke
<1%

FW
<1%

BSW
<1%
SPD 64%
AfD 21.4%
CDU <1%
Grüne <1%
$37,633 Vol.
$37,633 Vol.

SPD
64%

AfD
21%

CDU
<1%

Grüne
<1%

FDP
<1%

Linke
<1%

FW
<1%

BSW
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern show the AfD holding a narrow lead at around 35% ahead of the September 20 election, with the SPD closing to 32% after gaining three points in the latest Infratest dimap survey. This positions the SPD as the clear frontrunner for second place in the Landtag, well ahead of the Left at 11%, CDU at 8%, and smaller parties like the Greens near the 5% threshold. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices aligns with these trends and historical patterns of SPD strength under Minister President Manuela Schwesig, while low probabilities for the AfD or others in second reflect their limited upside in current data. Upcoming final polls and turnout dynamics remain the main variables that could still shift relative standings before voting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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