Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Landtag election show the AfD maintaining a narrow lead at 35-37 percent while the SPD has narrowed the gap to 28-32 percent in surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, and INSA. This positioning underpins the elevated trader consensus on the SPD securing second place. The incumbent SPD-led government under Manuela Schwesig benefits from gains in the final weeks, with the Linke holding third and smaller parties like the CDU, Greens, and BSW trailing further behind. AfD probabilities for second remain secondary, reflecting limited scenarios where it slips despite its frontrunner status. Upcoming final campaign events and turnout patterns could still influence the exact order.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertParlamentswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern: 2. Platz
Parlamentswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern: 2. Platz
SPD 75%
AfD 21.9%
CDU <1%
Grüne <1%
$38,792 Vol.
$38,792 Vol.
19. Sep. 2026
SPD
75%
AfD
22%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
SPD 75%
AfD 21.9%
CDU <1%
Grüne <1%
$38,792 Vol.
$38,792 Vol.
19. Sep. 2026
SPD
$18,659 Vol.
75%
AfD
$14,804 Vol.
22%
CDU
$902 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$909 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$1,034 Vol.
<1%
Linke
$815 Vol.
<1%
FW
$749 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$920 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Landtag election show the AfD maintaining a narrow lead at 35-37 percent while the SPD has narrowed the gap to 28-32 percent in surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, and INSA. This positioning underpins the elevated trader consensus on the SPD securing second place. The incumbent SPD-led government under Manuela Schwesig benefits from gains in the final weeks, with the Linke holding third and smaller parties like the CDU, Greens, and BSW trailing further behind. AfD probabilities for second remain secondary, reflecting limited scenarios where it slips despite its frontrunner status. Upcoming final campaign events and turnout patterns could still influence the exact order.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volumen
$38,792Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Landtag election show the AfD maintaining a narrow lead at 35-37 percent while the SPD has narrowed the gap to 28-32 percent in surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, and INSA. This positioning underpins the elevated trader consensus on the SPD securing second place. The incumbent SPD-led government under Manuela Schwesig benefits from gains in the final weeks, with the Linke holding third and smaller parties like the CDU, Greens, and BSW trailing further behind. AfD probabilities for second remain secondary, reflecting limited scenarios where it slips despite its frontrunner status. Upcoming final campaign events and turnout patterns could still influence the exact order.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volumen
$38,792Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Landtag election show the AfD maintaining a narrow lead at 35-37 percent while the SPD has narrowed the gap to 28-32 percent in surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, and INSA. This positioning underpins the elevated trader consensus on the SPD securing second place. The incumbent SPD-led government under Manuela Schwesig benefits from gains in the final weeks, with the Linke holding third and smaller parties like the CDU, Greens, and BSW trailing further behind. AfD probabilities for second remain secondary, reflecting limited scenarios where it slips despite its frontrunner status. Upcoming final campaign events and turnout patterns could still influence the exact order.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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