**Forecast models indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 13 will likely settle near 8–10°C, driven by radiative cooling under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, light southwesterly winds of 2–4 m/s, and high humidity near 80–90% with dew points around 8–10°C.** These conditions promote gradual temperature drops after sunset without strong advection of colder air, though model spread arises from variations in cloud cover and potential shallow fog formation. Historical September minima average near 10°C, but current GFS and ECMWF runs show slightly cooler outcomes possible if skies clear more than expected. Trader consensus clustering tightly around 6–8°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range and the market's aggregation of real-capital assessments of model ensembles ahead of final overnight observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 13. September?
7°C 22%
5°C oder darunter 16%
8°C 4%
6°C 2%
5°C oder darunter
16%
6°C
23%
7°C
21%
8°C
22%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C oder höher
<1%
7°C 22%
5°C oder darunter 16%
8°C 4%
6°C 2%
5°C oder darunter
16%
6°C
23%
7°C
21%
8°C
22%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 13 will likely settle near 8–10°C, driven by radiative cooling under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, light southwesterly winds of 2–4 m/s, and high humidity near 80–90% with dew points around 8–10°C.** These conditions promote gradual temperature drops after sunset without strong advection of colder air, though model spread arises from variations in cloud cover and potential shallow fog formation. Historical September minima average near 10°C, but current GFS and ECMWF runs show slightly cooler outcomes possible if skies clear more than expected. Trader consensus clustering tightly around 6–8°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range and the market's aggregation of real-capital assessments of model ensembles ahead of final overnight observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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