Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies and models like GFS point to an overnight low in Istanbul near 16–19°C on September 18, shaped by northeasterly winds of 5–15 km/h that limit radiative cooling and maintain moderate mixing in the boundary layer. Partly cloudy skies reduce heat loss compared to clear conditions, while dew points around 14–16°C and surface pressures near 1015–1018 hPa support stabilization above seasonal norms of roughly 15–16°C. Model consensus shows minor spreads in minimum temperature due to variations in cloud timing and wind gusts, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18–20°C versus slightly cooler outcomes. Updated observations through the morning will refine resolution criteria based on the official station reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 18. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 18. September?
16°C 100%
13°C oder darunter 92%
15°C 92%
19°C 50%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
13°C oder darunter
92%
14°C
4%
15°C
92%
16°C
100%
17°C
47%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
49%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C oder höher
<1%
16°C 100%
13°C oder darunter 92%
15°C 92%
19°C 50%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
13°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
92%
14°C
$41 Vol.
4%
15°C
$0 Vol.
92%
16°C
$25 Vol.
100%
17°C
$15 Vol.
47%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
50%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$520 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
23°C oder höher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies and models like GFS point to an overnight low in Istanbul near 16–19°C on September 18, shaped by northeasterly winds of 5–15 km/h that limit radiative cooling and maintain moderate mixing in the boundary layer. Partly cloudy skies reduce heat loss compared to clear conditions, while dew points around 14–16°C and surface pressures near 1015–1018 hPa support stabilization above seasonal norms of roughly 15–16°C. Model consensus shows minor spreads in minimum temperature due to variations in cloud timing and wind gusts, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18–20°C versus slightly cooler outcomes. Updated observations through the morning will refine resolution criteria based on the official station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$631Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies and models like GFS point to an overnight low in Istanbul near 16–19°C on September 18, shaped by northeasterly winds of 5–15 km/h that limit radiative cooling and maintain moderate mixing in the boundary layer. Partly cloudy skies reduce heat loss compared to clear conditions, while dew points around 14–16°C and surface pressures near 1015–1018 hPa support stabilization above seasonal norms of roughly 15–16°C. Model consensus shows minor spreads in minimum temperature due to variations in cloud timing and wind gusts, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18–20°C versus slightly cooler outcomes. Updated observations through the morning will refine resolution criteria based on the official station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$631Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies and models like GFS point to an overnight low in Istanbul near 16–19°C on September 18, shaped by northeasterly winds of 5–15 km/h that limit radiative cooling and maintain moderate mixing in the boundary layer. Partly cloudy skies reduce heat loss compared to clear conditions, while dew points around 14–16°C and surface pressures near 1015–1018 hPa support stabilization above seasonal norms of roughly 15–16°C. Model consensus shows minor spreads in minimum temperature due to variations in cloud timing and wind gusts, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18–20°C versus slightly cooler outcomes. Updated observations through the morning will refine resolution criteria based on the official station reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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