Forecast uncertainty around mild overnight lows amid persistent tropical moisture and thunderstorm activity is keeping the 25–27°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader consensus. Multiple models show Guangzhou under a warm, humid air mass with dew points near 24–25°C, limiting radiative cooling despite cloud cover and rain; historical September averages near 24.4°C provide context but recent years often see 23–26°C lows under similar patterns. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes light variable winds and high humidity that favor readings in this narrow band, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded before sunrise. Updated model runs overnight could shift probabilities if clearer skies allow further cooling or heavier rain suppresses it.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 13. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 13. September?
26°C 49%
27°C 49%
24°C 47%
23°C 10%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
20°C oder weniger
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
10%
24°C
47%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 49%
27°C 49%
24°C 47%
23°C 10%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
20°C oder weniger
$75 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$15 Vol.
10%
24°C
$6 Vol.
47%
25°C
$22 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
49%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
30°C oder höher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty around mild overnight lows amid persistent tropical moisture and thunderstorm activity is keeping the 25–27°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader consensus. Multiple models show Guangzhou under a warm, humid air mass with dew points near 24–25°C, limiting radiative cooling despite cloud cover and rain; historical September averages near 24.4°C provide context but recent years often see 23–26°C lows under similar patterns. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes light variable winds and high humidity that favor readings in this narrow band, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded before sunrise. Updated model runs overnight could shift probabilities if clearer skies allow further cooling or heavier rain suppresses it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$163Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty around mild overnight lows amid persistent tropical moisture and thunderstorm activity is keeping the 25–27°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader consensus. Multiple models show Guangzhou under a warm, humid air mass with dew points near 24–25°C, limiting radiative cooling despite cloud cover and rain; historical September averages near 24.4°C provide context but recent years often see 23–26°C lows under similar patterns. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes light variable winds and high humidity that favor readings in this narrow band, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded before sunrise. Updated model runs overnight could shift probabilities if clearer skies allow further cooling or heavier rain suppresses it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$163Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty around mild overnight lows amid persistent tropical moisture and thunderstorm activity is keeping the 25–27°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader consensus. Multiple models show Guangzhou under a warm, humid air mass with dew points near 24–25°C, limiting radiative cooling despite cloud cover and rain; historical September averages near 24.4°C provide context but recent years often see 23–26°C lows under similar patterns. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes light variable winds and high humidity that favor readings in this narrow band, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded before sunrise. Updated model runs overnight could shift probabilities if clearer skies allow further cooling or heavier rain suppresses it.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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