Recent cold air advection from a polar front has driven sharp temperature drops across Buenos Aires, with official minima near 3°C on September 6 under clear skies and northerly-to-southerly wind shifts. Ensemble forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate gradual moderation by September 8, with overnight lows most likely ranging 7–10°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light northeasterly flow, though model spread leaves room for localized radiative cooling. Trader emphasis on the 3°C-or-below outcome reflects caution around forecast uncertainty and recent cold anomalies, while probabilities for milder thresholds align with climatological September averages near 8–12°C and expected warming trends. New model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 8. September?
3°C oder darunter 93%
13°C oder höher 59%
4°C 48%
6°C 48%
3°C oder darunter
93%
4°C
48%
5°C
27%
6°C
48%
7°C
26%
8°C
12%
9°C
19%
10°C
16%
11°C
16%
12°C
15%
13°C oder höher
59%
3°C oder darunter 93%
13°C oder höher 59%
4°C 48%
6°C 48%
3°C oder darunter
93%
4°C
48%
5°C
27%
6°C
48%
7°C
26%
8°C
12%
9°C
19%
10°C
16%
11°C
16%
12°C
15%
13°C oder höher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold air advection from a polar front has driven sharp temperature drops across Buenos Aires, with official minima near 3°C on September 6 under clear skies and northerly-to-southerly wind shifts. Ensemble forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate gradual moderation by September 8, with overnight lows most likely ranging 7–10°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light northeasterly flow, though model spread leaves room for localized radiative cooling. Trader emphasis on the 3°C-or-below outcome reflects caution around forecast uncertainty and recent cold anomalies, while probabilities for milder thresholds align with climatological September averages near 8–12°C and expected warming trends. New model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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