The archival @khamenei_ir account, operating in low-volume mode since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's March 2026 assassination, maintains a consistent pattern of republishing religious or political statements rather than issuing new commentary. This established frequency, typically a handful of items per week, underpins trader consensus on the under-five bin at 70% implied probability. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in the preceding month have altered the account's approach or prompted elevated output. With the August 7–14 window already underway and Mojtaba Khamenei's separate account handling active statements, the structure favors limited posts from the primary feed absent unforeseen escalation.