Trump’s Truth Social activity has historically averaged 18–19 posts per day in 2025 and early 2026, producing weekly totals typically in the 130–150 range when adjusted for an eight-day window. This baseline supports the tight clustering of probabilities around the 140–179 and 200+ buckets, with traders weighing routine presidential communications against periods of elevated volume driven by policy rollouts or external events. The recent launch of Truth Social’s paid early-access feed has not altered posting patterns but underscores the platform’s role in rapid official messaging. Separation in the market could emerge from scheduled diplomatic summits, legislative deadlines, or market-moving announcements within the resolution period, which would either suppress or accelerate output relative to the established average.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert200+ 21%
140-159 19%
160-179 17%
120-139 15%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
5%
100-119
10%
120-139
15%
140-159
19%
160-179
17%
180-199
9%
200+
21%
200+ 21%
140-159 19%
160-179 17%
120-139 15%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
<20
$759 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$217 Vol.
1%
40-59
$149 Vol.
1%
60-79
$251 Vol.
1%
80-99
$507 Vol.
5%
100-119
$575 Vol.
10%
120-139
$416 Vol.
15%
140-159
$474 Vol.
19%
160-179
$988 Vol.
17%
180-199
$556 Vol.
9%
200+
$818 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s Truth Social activity has historically averaged 18–19 posts per day in 2025 and early 2026, producing weekly totals typically in the 130–150 range when adjusted for an eight-day window. This baseline supports the tight clustering of probabilities around the 140–179 and 200+ buckets, with traders weighing routine presidential communications against periods of elevated volume driven by policy rollouts or external events. The recent launch of Truth Social’s paid early-access feed has not altered posting patterns but underscores the platform’s role in rapid official messaging. Separation in the market could emerge from scheduled diplomatic summits, legislative deadlines, or market-moving announcements within the resolution period, which would either suppress or accelerate output relative to the established average.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volumen
$5,709Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s Truth Social activity has historically averaged 18–19 posts per day in 2025 and early 2026, producing weekly totals typically in the 130–150 range when adjusted for an eight-day window. This baseline supports the tight clustering of probabilities around the 140–179 and 200+ buckets, with traders weighing routine presidential communications against periods of elevated volume driven by policy rollouts or external events. The recent launch of Truth Social’s paid early-access feed has not altered posting patterns but underscores the platform’s role in rapid official messaging. Separation in the market could emerge from scheduled diplomatic summits, legislative deadlines, or market-moving announcements within the resolution period, which would either suppress or accelerate output relative to the established average.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$5,709Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump’s Truth Social activity has historically averaged 18–19 posts per day in 2025 and early 2026, producing weekly totals typically in the 130–150 range when adjusted for an eight-day window. This baseline supports the tight clustering of probabilities around the 140–179 and 200+ buckets, with traders weighing routine presidential communications against periods of elevated volume driven by policy rollouts or external events. The recent launch of Truth Social’s paid early-access feed has not altered posting patterns but underscores the platform’s role in rapid official messaging. Separation in the market could emerge from scheduled diplomatic summits, legislative deadlines, or market-moving announcements within the resolution period, which would either suppress or accelerate output relative to the established average.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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