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icon for How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

icon for How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

Sep. 16

Dez. 9

Jan. 27, 2027

Sep. 16

Dez. 9

Jan. 27, 2027

2 24.1%

3 24%

4+ 22%

0 18%

Polymarket
NEU

2 24.1%

3 24%

4+ 22%

0 18%

Polymarket
NEU

0

$6,200 Vol.

18%

1

$409 Vol.

17%

2

$220 Vol.

24%

3

$260 Vol.

24%

4+

$253 Vol.

22%

The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Elevated inflation pressures and a fragmented FOMC are anchoring trader expectations for multiple dissents at the December 2026 meeting.** With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% following the June pause and the median dot plot now projecting 3.8% by year-end, officials have marked up 2026 PCE inflation to 3.6% amid supply shocks from tariffs and Middle East energy effects. Recent meetings have already produced three to four dissents—the highest in decades—reflecting hawkish pushback from incoming 2026 voting regional presidents and Governor Miran’s repeated calls for larger moves. Stable unemployment near 4.1-4.3% and resilient growth provide little consensus for aggressive easing, while Chair Warsh’s data-dependent approach and removal of forward guidance heighten the chance of visible splits. The tightly clustered Polymarket odds around two to four-plus dissents capture this ongoing internal divide ahead of the September and subsequent policy decisions.

The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$7,342
Enddatum
9. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Elevated inflation pressures and a fragmented FOMC are anchoring trader expectations for multiple dissents at the December 2026 meeting.** With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% following the June pause and the median dot plot now projecting 3.8% by year-end, officials have marked up 2026 PCE inflation to 3.6% amid supply shocks from tariffs and Middle East energy effects. Recent meetings have already produced three to four dissents—the highest in decades—reflecting hawkish pushback from incoming 2026 voting regional presidents and Governor Miran’s repeated calls for larger moves. Stable unemployment near 4.1-4.3% and resilient growth provide little consensus for aggressive easing, while Chair Warsh’s data-dependent approach and removal of forward guidance heighten the chance of visible splits. The tightly clustered Polymarket odds around two to four-plus dissents capture this ongoing internal divide ahead of the September and subsequent policy decisions.

The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$7,342
Enddatum
9. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Werden drei Personen der Fed-Entscheidung im Januar widersprechen?

Werden drei Personen der Fed-Entscheidung im Januar widersprechen?

28%
Ja
icon for Werden drei Personen der Fed-Entscheidung im September widersprechen?

Werden drei Personen der Fed-Entscheidung im September widersprechen?

30%
Ja
icon for Wird es nach der Sitzung der Fed im Dezember 2026 keine Änderung bei den Zinssätzen geben?

Wird es nach der Sitzung der Fed im Dezember 2026 keine Änderung bei den Zinssätzen geben?

45%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

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