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icon for In wie vielen Städten wird Waymo bis zum 31. Dezember operieren?

In wie vielen Städten wird Waymo bis zum 31. Dezember operieren?

icon for In wie vielen Städten wird Waymo bis zum 31. Dezember operieren?

In wie vielen Städten wird Waymo bis zum 31. Dezember operieren?

Jan. 1, 2027

Jan. 1, 2027

16-19 35%

12-15 30.1%

<12 19.8%

20–23 3.9%

Polymarket

$86,068 Vol.

16-19 35%

12-15 30.1%

<12 19.8%

20–23 3.9%

Polymarket

$86,068 Vol.

<12

$5,478 Vol.

20%

12-15

$30,182 Vol.

30%

16-19

$16,773 Vol.

35%

20–23

$13,527 Vol.

4%

24-27

$10,921 Vol.

3%

28-31

$4,551 Vol.

1%

32+

$4,636 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s recent launch of paid robotaxi service in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa has lifted its commercial footprint to 14 U.S. cities as of early September 2026, with a 4,000-plus vehicle fleet delivering over 500,000 weekly rides. Trader sentiment centers on whether the company can add two to five more markets by year-end to reach the leading 16-19 bin. Key swing factors include the pace of regulatory clearances in places like Las Vegas and California’s broader counties, mapping and employee-testing timelines in additional metros, and the operational ramp of its sixth-generation Driver on new Ojai and IONIQ 5 platforms. The tight spread between the 12-15 and 16-19 outcomes reflects uncertainty over how many simultaneous city launches the team can execute before December 31 while maintaining safety standards and scaling toward one million weekly rides.

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.

A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$86,068
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s recent launch of paid robotaxi service in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa has lifted its commercial footprint to 14 U.S. cities as of early September 2026, with a 4,000-plus vehicle fleet delivering over 500,000 weekly rides. Trader sentiment centers on whether the company can add two to five more markets by year-end to reach the leading 16-19 bin. Key swing factors include the pace of regulatory clearances in places like Las Vegas and California’s broader counties, mapping and employee-testing timelines in additional metros, and the operational ramp of its sixth-generation Driver on new Ojai and IONIQ 5 platforms. The tight spread between the 12-15 and 16-19 outcomes reflects uncertainty over how many simultaneous city launches the team can execute before December 31 while maintaining safety standards and scaling toward one million weekly rides.

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.

A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$86,068
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„In wie vielen Städten wird Waymo bis zum 31. Dezember operieren?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „16-19" mit 35%, gefolgt von „12-15" mit 30%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 35¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 35% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „In wie vielen Städten wird Waymo bis zum 31. Dezember operieren?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $86.1K generiert, seit der Markt am Jun 26, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „In wie vielen Städten wird Waymo bis zum 31. Dezember operieren?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 7 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „In wie vielen Städten wird Waymo bis zum 31. Dezember operieren?" ist „16-19" mit 35%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 35% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „12-15" mit 30%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „In wie vielen Städten wird Waymo bis zum 31. Dezember operieren?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.