Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada project a sunny high of 23°C for Toronto on September 7 under building high pressure and light northwest winds, consistent with the long-term average daily maximum near 23.7°C. Private model guidance and some ensemble runs indicate modest warming potential to 24–25°C if afternoon insolation peaks without significant cloud interference or stronger onshore flow. Traders appear to assign higher implied probability to the upper end of this narrow range, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty in peak temperature timing and the influence of recent warmer-than-average early September conditions across the Great Lakes region. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 7. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Toronto am 7. September?
25°C 37%
24°C 35%
26°C 14%
23°C 12%
NEU
NEU
7. Sep. 2026
20°C oder weniger
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
12%
24°C
35%
25°C
37%
26°C
14%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 37%
24°C 35%
26°C 14%
23°C 12%
NEU
NEU
7. Sep. 2026
20°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$110 Vol.
2%
22°C
$184 Vol.
5%
23°C
$258 Vol.
12%
24°C
$229 Vol.
35%
25°C
$373 Vol.
37%
26°C
$218 Vol.
14%
27°C
$110 Vol.
4%
28°C
$123 Vol.
2%
29°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
30°C oder höher
$125 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada project a sunny high of 23°C for Toronto on September 7 under building high pressure and light northwest winds, consistent with the long-term average daily maximum near 23.7°C. Private model guidance and some ensemble runs indicate modest warming potential to 24–25°C if afternoon insolation peaks without significant cloud interference or stronger onshore flow. Traders appear to assign higher implied probability to the upper end of this narrow range, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty in peak temperature timing and the influence of recent warmer-than-average early September conditions across the Great Lakes region. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 5, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volumen
$1,855Enddatum
7. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 5, 2026, 8:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada project a sunny high of 23°C for Toronto on September 7 under building high pressure and light northwest winds, consistent with the long-term average daily maximum near 23.7°C. Private model guidance and some ensemble runs indicate modest warming potential to 24–25°C if afternoon insolation peaks without significant cloud interference or stronger onshore flow. Traders appear to assign higher implied probability to the upper end of this narrow range, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty in peak temperature timing and the influence of recent warmer-than-average early September conditions across the Great Lakes region. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,855Enddatum
7. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 5, 2026, 8:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada project a sunny high of 23°C for Toronto on September 7 under building high pressure and light northwest winds, consistent with the long-term average daily maximum near 23.7°C. Private model guidance and some ensemble runs indicate modest warming potential to 24–25°C if afternoon insolation peaks without significant cloud interference or stronger onshore flow. Traders appear to assign higher implied probability to the upper end of this narrow range, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty in peak temperature timing and the influence of recent warmer-than-average early September conditions across the Great Lakes region. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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