Recent forecast models for Panama City, Panama, indicate overnight lows near 25°C on September 7, driven by typical tropical maritime conditions with high humidity and frequent cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with September climatology showing average daily lows of 24–25°C and supports market-implied odds favoring 26°C as the leading outcome at 46%. Traders appear to price in modest variability from steering patterns or rain intensity, while the 34.5% on 30°C or higher reflects scenarios with persistent cloudiness suppressing the usual nighttime drop. Updated model runs and official monitoring over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Panama City am 7. September?
30°C oder höher 69%
27°C 50%
22°C 48%
23°C 48%
20°C oder weniger
15%
21°C
19%
22°C
48%
23°C
48%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
38%
27°C
50%
28°C
48%
29°C
19%
30°C oder höher
69%
30°C oder höher 69%
27°C 50%
22°C 48%
23°C 48%
20°C oder weniger
15%
21°C
19%
22°C
48%
23°C
48%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
38%
27°C
50%
28°C
48%
29°C
19%
30°C oder höher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Panama City, Panama, indicate overnight lows near 25°C on September 7, driven by typical tropical maritime conditions with high humidity and frequent cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with September climatology showing average daily lows of 24–25°C and supports market-implied odds favoring 26°C as the leading outcome at 46%. Traders appear to price in modest variability from steering patterns or rain intensity, while the 34.5% on 30°C or higher reflects scenarios with persistent cloudiness suppressing the usual nighttime drop. Updated model runs and official monitoring over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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