Trader consensus heavily favors a 33°C high in Tel Aviv on August 9, 2026 (66% implied probability), with 32°C as the next most likely outcome, because official forecasts from AccuWeather and the Israel Meteorological Service project coastal maxima of 31–33°C under stable Mediterranean summer conditions. Typical August climatology features an average daily high of 32°C, moderated by sea breezes that limit inland heat buildup, and current model runs show no significant deviation from this baseline. Recent data releases align with historical norms rather than anomalous warming, keeping probabilities concentrated in the narrow 32–34°C range while assigning negligible weight to extremes. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 9. August?
33°C 66%
32°C 24%
34°C 11%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
24%
33°C
66%
34°C
11%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 66%
32°C 24%
34°C 11%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
24%
33°C
66%
34°C
11%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 33°C high in Tel Aviv on August 9, 2026 (66% implied probability), with 32°C as the next most likely outcome, because official forecasts from AccuWeather and the Israel Meteorological Service project coastal maxima of 31–33°C under stable Mediterranean summer conditions. Typical August climatology features an average daily high of 32°C, moderated by sea breezes that limit inland heat buildup, and current model runs show no significant deviation from this baseline. Recent data releases align with historical norms rather than anomalous warming, keeping probabilities concentrated in the narrow 32–34°C range while assigning negligible weight to extremes. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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