Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including those aligned with INMET guidance, currently indicate a maximum temperature of 17–19°C for São Paulo on August 10, driven by persistent high-pressure influence and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating during Southern Hemisphere winter. This aligns with climatological norms near 22–25°C but reflects cooler recent trends and model consensus favoring modest values, with 18°C holding the highest implied probability at 40.5%. Updated runs ahead of resolution will determine any shifts from steering patterns or localized effects, as traders weigh official peak readings against historical variability in the region.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 10. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 10. August?
18°C 42%
19°C 26%
17°C 24%
20°C 8%
NEU
NEU
10. Aug. 2026
14°C oder darunter
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
24%
18°C
42%
19°C
26%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
18°C 42%
19°C 26%
17°C 24%
20°C 8%
NEU
NEU
10. Aug. 2026
14°C oder darunter
$87 Vol.
1%
15°C
$314 Vol.
1%
16°C
$133 Vol.
2%
17°C
$393 Vol.
24%
18°C
$199 Vol.
42%
19°C
$342 Vol.
26%
20°C
$151 Vol.
8%
21°C
$76 Vol.
2%
22°C
$72 Vol.
2%
23°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
24°C oder höher
$62 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including those aligned with INMET guidance, currently indicate a maximum temperature of 17–19°C for São Paulo on August 10, driven by persistent high-pressure influence and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating during Southern Hemisphere winter. This aligns with climatological norms near 22–25°C but reflects cooler recent trends and model consensus favoring modest values, with 18°C holding the highest implied probability at 40.5%. Updated runs ahead of resolution will determine any shifts from steering patterns or localized effects, as traders weigh official peak readings against historical variability in the region.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$1,414Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including those aligned with INMET guidance, currently indicate a maximum temperature of 17–19°C for São Paulo on August 10, driven by persistent high-pressure influence and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating during Southern Hemisphere winter. This aligns with climatological norms near 22–25°C but reflects cooler recent trends and model consensus favoring modest values, with 18°C holding the highest implied probability at 40.5%. Updated runs ahead of resolution will determine any shifts from steering patterns or localized effects, as traders weigh official peak readings against historical variability in the region.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,414Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including those aligned with INMET guidance, currently indicate a maximum temperature of 17–19°C for São Paulo on August 10, driven by persistent high-pressure influence and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating during Southern Hemisphere winter. This aligns with climatological norms near 22–25°C but reflects cooler recent trends and model consensus favoring modest values, with 18°C holding the highest implied probability at 40.5%. Updated runs ahead of resolution will determine any shifts from steering patterns or localized effects, as traders weigh official peak readings against historical variability in the region.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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