Recent forecasts indicate an Atlantic perturbation will reach northern Italy by September 9, advecting cooler, unstable air masses that trigger widespread thunderstorms and sharply curtail daytime heating in Milan. Official model consensus from ECMWF and national agencies points to a maximum near 24°C under persistent cloud cover and precipitation, down 8–10°C from the preceding heatwave. This rapid transition, driven by a deepening trough and northerly flow, aligns closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Traders appear to be pricing in the latest high-resolution runs showing limited afternoon recovery once storms develop, while assigning low probability to any return to the 27°C-plus range observed earlier in the week. Updated guidance ahead of the event will likely refine the exact peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 9. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Mailand am 9. September?
24°C 37%
23°C 24%
25°C 17%
22°C 11%
NEU
NEU
9. Sep. 2026
17°C oder weniger
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
6%
21°C
7%
22°C
11%
23°C
24%
24°C
37%
25°C
17%
26°C
8%
27°C oder höher
2%
24°C 37%
23°C 24%
25°C 17%
22°C 11%
NEU
NEU
9. Sep. 2026
17°C oder weniger
$125 Vol.
1%
18°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
6%
21°C
$2 Vol.
7%
22°C
$0 Vol.
11%
23°C
$81 Vol.
24%
24°C
$55 Vol.
37%
25°C
$33 Vol.
17%
26°C
$13 Vol.
8%
27°C oder höher
$53 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate an Atlantic perturbation will reach northern Italy by September 9, advecting cooler, unstable air masses that trigger widespread thunderstorms and sharply curtail daytime heating in Milan. Official model consensus from ECMWF and national agencies points to a maximum near 24°C under persistent cloud cover and precipitation, down 8–10°C from the preceding heatwave. This rapid transition, driven by a deepening trough and northerly flow, aligns closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Traders appear to be pricing in the latest high-resolution runs showing limited afternoon recovery once storms develop, while assigning low probability to any return to the 27°C-plus range observed earlier in the week. Updated guidance ahead of the event will likely refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$544Enddatum
9. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate an Atlantic perturbation will reach northern Italy by September 9, advecting cooler, unstable air masses that trigger widespread thunderstorms and sharply curtail daytime heating in Milan. Official model consensus from ECMWF and national agencies points to a maximum near 24°C under persistent cloud cover and precipitation, down 8–10°C from the preceding heatwave. This rapid transition, driven by a deepening trough and northerly flow, aligns closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Traders appear to be pricing in the latest high-resolution runs showing limited afternoon recovery once storms develop, while assigning low probability to any return to the 27°C-plus range observed earlier in the week. Updated guidance ahead of the event will likely refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$544Enddatum
9. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate an Atlantic perturbation will reach northern Italy by September 9, advecting cooler, unstable air masses that trigger widespread thunderstorms and sharply curtail daytime heating in Milan. Official model consensus from ECMWF and national agencies points to a maximum near 24°C under persistent cloud cover and precipitation, down 8–10°C from the preceding heatwave. This rapid transition, driven by a deepening trough and northerly flow, aligns closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Traders appear to be pricing in the latest high-resolution runs showing limited afternoon recovery once storms develop, while assigning low probability to any return to the 27°C-plus range observed earlier in the week. Updated guidance ahead of the event will likely refine the exact peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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