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icon for Fed-Entscheidungen (Sep-Dez)
Economy·Fed

Fed-Entscheidungen (Sep-Dez)

icon for Fed-Entscheidungen (Sep-Dez)
Economy·Fed

Fed-Entscheidungen (Sep-Dez)

Sep. 16

Okt. 28

Dez. 9

Sep. 16

Okt. 28

Dez. 9

Pause–Pause–Pause 26%

Zinsschritt–Pause–Pause 19%

Pause–Pause–Erhöhung 15%

Pause–Anhebung–Pause 11.9%

Polymarket

$11,663 Vol.

Pause–Pause–Pause 26%

Zinsschritt–Pause–Pause 19%

Pause–Pause–Erhöhung 15%

Pause–Anhebung–Pause 11.9%

Polymarket

$11,663 Vol.

Hike–Pause–Hike

$314 Vol.

9%

Zinsschritt–Pause–Pause

$489 Vol.

19%

Anheben–Anheben–Anheben

$216 Vol.

5%

Hike–Hike–Pause

$429 Vol.

7%

Pause–Pause–Erhöhung

$253 Vol.

15%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$9,140 Vol.

26%

Pause–Anhebung–Anhebung

$237 Vol.

11%

Pause–Anhebung–Pause

$336 Vol.

12%

Sonstiges

$249 Vol.

8%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm**Elevated inflation pressures from Middle East supply shocks remain the dominant driver of fragmented trader sentiment on the Fed's September–December rate path.** With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% and headline PCE near 3.7% in July alongside core readings above 3%, markets price meaningful odds of a September hike even as shorter-term disinflation trends and a stable labor market (unemployment ~4.1%) support a hold. The new data-dependent approach under Chair Warsh, removal of forward guidance, and mixed July dissents have produced closely contested sequences—led by Pause–Pause–Pause at 25.5% but trailed by Hike–Pause–Pause at 18.5%—reflecting uncertainty ahead of the September 16 SEP release and subsequent data. Traders weigh potential persistent energy effects against any further moderation in price pressures.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.

A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".

Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Volumen
$11,663
Enddatum
9. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm**Elevated inflation pressures from Middle East supply shocks remain the dominant driver of fragmented trader sentiment on the Fed's September–December rate path.** With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% and headline PCE near 3.7% in July alongside core readings above 3%, markets price meaningful odds of a September hike even as shorter-term disinflation trends and a stable labor market (unemployment ~4.1%) support a hold. The new data-dependent approach under Chair Warsh, removal of forward guidance, and mixed July dissents have produced closely contested sequences—led by Pause–Pause–Pause at 25.5% but trailed by Hike–Pause–Pause at 18.5%—reflecting uncertainty ahead of the September 16 SEP release and subsequent data. Traders weigh potential persistent energy effects against any further moderation in price pressures.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.

A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".

Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Volumen
$11,663
Enddatum
9. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

50%
icon for Wird die Fed nach dem Treffen im September 2026 den Leitzins um 25 Basispunkte anheben?

Wird die Fed nach dem Treffen im September 2026 den Leitzins um 25 Basispunkte anheben?

51%
Ja
icon for Was wird die nächste Zinserhöhung der Fed sein?

Was wird die nächste Zinserhöhung der Fed sein?

82%
Erhöhung

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Fed-Entscheidungen (Sep-Dez)" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Pause–Pause–Pause" mit 26%, gefolgt von „Zinsschritt–Pause–Pause" mit 19%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 26¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 26% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Fed-Entscheidungen (Sep-Dez)" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $11.7K generiert, seit der Markt am Sep 2, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Fed-Entscheidungen (Sep-Dez)" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 9 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Fed-Entscheidungen (Sep-Dez)" ist „Pause–Pause–Pause" mit 26%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 26% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Zinsschritt–Pause–Pause" mit 19%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Fed-Entscheidungen (Sep-Dez)" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.