The Charlesbourg riding in Quebec’s Capitale-Nationale region is an open seat following the decision of incumbent CAQ MNA Jonatan Julien not to seek re-election under the new 127-seat electoral map. With the general election set for October 5, 2026, and the campaign only days old after the writs were issued on August 27, early projections show a fragmented field among CAQ candidate Marie-Josée Morency, Liberal Seynabou Top, PQ’s Gabriel Coulombe, QS’s Georges Goma, and Conservative Éloïse Coulombe. Trader odds remain closely balanced because no single party holds a dominant local base, provincial polling averages reflect broad competition across the five main parties, and limited riding-specific data exists this early. Separation is most likely to emerge from candidate visibility during the September debate period, shifts in regional voter priorities around the Quebec City area, or broader swings in party support as advance polls and the final weeks unfold.