Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 state election show Die Linke holding steady near 19-22 percent, placing it in a tight three-way contest with the CDU and AfD. The party has risen sharply from its 12.2 percent result in 2023, drawing support amid dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition and stronger mobilization in eastern districts. Latest surveys from Infratest dimap, INSA, Civey, and Forsa place Linke within a few points of the leaders, with no single party commanding a clear advantage. Trader consensus around the 17-23 percent bands reflects this narrow range and the limited time left for major shifts before voting. Late-campaign turnout differentials, any final policy contrasts on housing or social spending, or unexpected events could still widen or narrow the outcome within the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert17–20 % 42%
20–23 % 33%
<17% 19%
23 %+ 9%
$38,177 Vol.
$38,177 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
<17%
19%
17–20 %
42%
20–23 %
33%
23 %+
9%
17–20 % 42%
20–23 % 33%
<17% 19%
23 %+ 9%
$38,177 Vol.
$38,177 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
<17%
$8,755 Vol.
19%
17–20 %
$10,900 Vol.
42%
20–23 %
$10,350 Vol.
33%
23 %+
$8,170 Vol.
9%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 state election show Die Linke holding steady near 19-22 percent, placing it in a tight three-way contest with the CDU and AfD. The party has risen sharply from its 12.2 percent result in 2023, drawing support amid dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition and stronger mobilization in eastern districts. Latest surveys from Infratest dimap, INSA, Civey, and Forsa place Linke within a few points of the leaders, with no single party commanding a clear advantage. Trader consensus around the 17-23 percent bands reflects this narrow range and the limited time left for major shifts before voting. Late-campaign turnout differentials, any final policy contrasts on housing or social spending, or unexpected events could still widen or narrow the outcome within the resolution window.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Volumen
$38,177Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 state election show Die Linke holding steady near 19-22 percent, placing it in a tight three-way contest with the CDU and AfD. The party has risen sharply from its 12.2 percent result in 2023, drawing support amid dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition and stronger mobilization in eastern districts. Latest surveys from Infratest dimap, INSA, Civey, and Forsa place Linke within a few points of the leaders, with no single party commanding a clear advantage. Trader consensus around the 17-23 percent bands reflects this narrow range and the limited time left for major shifts before voting. Late-campaign turnout differentials, any final policy contrasts on housing or social spending, or unexpected events could still widen or narrow the outcome within the resolution window.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volumen
$38,177Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 state election show Die Linke holding steady near 19-22 percent, placing it in a tight three-way contest with the CDU and AfD. The party has risen sharply from its 12.2 percent result in 2023, drawing support amid dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition and stronger mobilization in eastern districts. Latest surveys from Infratest dimap, INSA, Civey, and Forsa place Linke within a few points of the leaders, with no single party commanding a clear advantage. Trader consensus around the 17-23 percent bands reflects this narrow range and the limited time left for major shifts before voting. Late-campaign turnout differentials, any final policy contrasts on housing or social spending, or unexpected events could still widen or narrow the outcome within the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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