DeepSeek holds a dominant 94.5% market-implied probability of finishing as the #2 AI lab by OpenRouter token share for the week of September 7, reflecting its sustained lead in real usage across multiple V4 Flash and Pro variants. Chinese open-weight models have captured the majority of gateway traffic in 2026, driven by DeepSeek’s combination of low pricing, strong agentic and multimodal performance, and frequent releases such as the recent V4.1 Flash that further reduced KV cache and inference costs. Recent data through mid-September shows DeepSeek still processing the highest aggregate tokens despite Tencent’s Hy4 preview surge and gains by Z.ai and OpenAI models. The positioning could shift if a single competitor’s new release or pricing change produces an outsized weekly spike, or if OpenAI’s premium GPT-5.6 variants accelerate adoption enough to reorder the top two spots before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertDeepSeek 95%
Google 2.8%
Nvidia 2.1%
Z.ai 1.8%

DeepSeek
95%

3%

Nvidia
2%

Z.ai
2%

Tencent
2%

OpenAI
2%

Xiaomi
2%

Meta
2%

Anthropic
2%

Qwen
2%

xAI
2%

MiniMax
<1%
DeepSeek 95%
Google 2.8%
Nvidia 2.1%
Z.ai 1.8%

DeepSeek
95%

3%

Nvidia
2%

Z.ai
2%

Tencent
2%

OpenAI
2%

Xiaomi
2%

Meta
2%

Anthropic
2%

Qwen
2%

xAI
2%

MiniMax
<1%
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...DeepSeek holds a dominant 94.5% market-implied probability of finishing as the #2 AI lab by OpenRouter token share for the week of September 7, reflecting its sustained lead in real usage across multiple V4 Flash and Pro variants. Chinese open-weight models have captured the majority of gateway traffic in 2026, driven by DeepSeek’s combination of low pricing, strong agentic and multimodal performance, and frequent releases such as the recent V4.1 Flash that further reduced KV cache and inference costs. Recent data through mid-September shows DeepSeek still processing the highest aggregate tokens despite Tencent’s Hy4 preview surge and gains by Z.ai and OpenAI models. The positioning could shift if a single competitor’s new release or pricing change produces an outsized weekly spike, or if OpenAI’s premium GPT-5.6 variants accelerate adoption enough to reorder the top two spots before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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