Iran's Islamic Penal Code, grounded in Shia jurisprudence, criminalizes same-sex relations with penalties including flogging and death, while the constitution and Guardian Council enforce traditional marriage definitions that exclude same-sex unions. This framework, upheld by the Supreme Leader and clerical institutions, has produced no legislative proposals, judicial rulings, or official signals favoring reform as of 2026. Trader consensus at 97.9% for no legalization reflects the absence of any credible path to change under current governance structures. Scenarios that could theoretically shift outcomes include a fundamental regime transition, successful secular constitutional overhaul, or binding international agreements overriding domestic law, though such developments remain distant from verifiable trends.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড2% সম্ভাবনা
$74,606 Vol.
$74,606 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
2% সম্ভাবনা
$74,606 Vol.
$74,606 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Penal Code, grounded in Shia jurisprudence, criminalizes same-sex relations with penalties including flogging and death, while the constitution and Guardian Council enforce traditional marriage definitions that exclude same-sex unions. This framework, upheld by the Supreme Leader and clerical institutions, has produced no legislative proposals, judicial rulings, or official signals favoring reform as of 2026. Trader consensus at 97.9% for no legalization reflects the absence of any credible path to change under current governance structures. Scenarios that could theoretically shift outcomes include a fundamental regime transition, successful secular constitutional overhaul, or binding international agreements overriding domestic law, though such developments remain distant from verifiable trends.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
ভলিউম
$74,606শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Penal Code, grounded in Shia jurisprudence, criminalizes same-sex relations with penalties including flogging and death, while the constitution and Guardian Council enforce traditional marriage definitions that exclude same-sex unions. This framework, upheld by the Supreme Leader and clerical institutions, has produced no legislative proposals, judicial rulings, or official signals favoring reform as of 2026. Trader consensus at 97.9% for no legalization reflects the absence of any credible path to change under current governance structures. Scenarios that could theoretically shift outcomes include a fundamental regime transition, successful secular constitutional overhaul, or binding international agreements overriding domestic law, though such developments remain distant from verifiable trends.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$74,606শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Iran's Islamic Penal Code, grounded in Shia jurisprudence, criminalizes same-sex relations with penalties including flogging and death, while the constitution and Guardian Council enforce traditional marriage definitions that exclude same-sex unions. This framework, upheld by the Supreme Leader and clerical institutions, has produced no legislative proposals, judicial rulings, or official signals favoring reform as of 2026. Trader consensus at 97.9% for no legalization reflects the absence of any credible path to change under current governance structures. Scenarios that could theoretically shift outcomes include a fundamental regime transition, successful secular constitutional overhaul, or binding international agreements overriding domestic law, though such developments remain distant from verifiable trends.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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