**Diplomatic momentum from the August 2025 Anchorage summit has largely stalled amid limited progress on Ukraine peace talks and continued battlefield escalation, leading traders to assign the highest probability (60.5%) to no Trump-Putin in-person meeting by December 31.** Occasional high-level phone contacts, including a July 2026 call in which both sides agreed to continue discussions, have not produced scheduled bilateral summits or breakthroughs. China holds the next-highest share (33.5%) due to sustained Russia-China alignment and recent parallel high-level visits to Beijing, positioning it as a plausible neutral or multilateral venue. U.S. hosting remains low-probability (4.0%) given domestic political constraints and the scheduled December 2026 G20 timing. Other locations trail with minimal signals of active bilateral scheduling through year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 61%
China 34%
United States 3.3%
Other <1%
$501,385 Vol.
$501,385 Vol.

No meeting by December 31
61%

China
34%

United States
3%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

Turkey
1%

Gulf country
1%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 61%
China 34%
United States 3.3%
Other <1%
$501,385 Vol.
$501,385 Vol.

No meeting by December 31
61%

China
34%

United States
3%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

Turkey
1%

Gulf country
1%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Diplomatic momentum from the August 2025 Anchorage summit has largely stalled amid limited progress on Ukraine peace talks and continued battlefield escalation, leading traders to assign the highest probability (60.5%) to no Trump-Putin in-person meeting by December 31.** Occasional high-level phone contacts, including a July 2026 call in which both sides agreed to continue discussions, have not produced scheduled bilateral summits or breakthroughs. China holds the next-highest share (33.5%) due to sustained Russia-China alignment and recent parallel high-level visits to Beijing, positioning it as a plausible neutral or multilateral venue. U.S. hosting remains low-probability (4.0%) given domestic political constraints and the scheduled December 2026 G20 timing. Other locations trail with minimal signals of active bilateral scheduling through year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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